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30 results for “shipping”
The July 15 Hormuz recovery market sat at 30.5% at 06:02 UTC Saturday, down 11 percentage points from Friday's open, as mine-clearance timelines far exceed the remaining contract window.
Filed June 27, 2026
The Hormuz recovery market holds at 47.5% YES at 02:40 UTC Saturday as 80 IMO-estimated mines block the transit threshold despite the US-Iran ceasefire.
Filed June 27, 2026
Hormuz July YES has climbed to 56.5% as of 16:41 UTC Thursday, adding 11pp as ceasefire optimism outruns the mine-clearance clock.
Filed June 25, 2026
Hormuz June YES hit 14.25% Thursday—up 11.75pp from its 2.5% open—as the Islamabad Memorandum fires conviction but IMF Portwatch records just 5 transits.
Filed June 25, 2026
The Hormuz July-31 contract climbed to 53.5% at 10:41 UTC Thursday on record post-accord weekend tanker traffic, with central-channel mines the remaining wildcard.
Filed June 25, 2026
Hormuz July YES is at 48.5% as of 08:46 UTC Thursday; post-war traffic hit a weekend high but confirmed mines block the central channel from full recovery.
Filed June 25, 2026
Hormuz July YES priced at 46.5% at 04:01 UTC Wednesday, down 2pp from Tuesday's open, as daily transits at 14–20% of pre-conflict levels leave the ≥60-call resolution bar more than double current run-rates.
Filed June 24, 2026
Hormuz July YES at 46.5% at 15:20 UTC Tuesday, down 5pp, as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance hold recovery below even money.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery market prices at 48.5% Tuesday morning, as a two-month mine-clearance estimate runs against a 38-day deadline.
Filed June 23, 2026
The July 31 Hormuz normalization contract holds at 48.5% Tuesday with technical demining talks beginning in Switzerland and CENTCOM reporting 55 daily transits.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Hormuz July 31 normalization contract holds at 48.5% Tuesday — near contested — as mine-clearance timelines override the Iran peace-accord rally.
Filed June 23, 2026
Hormuz July 31 YES holds at 48.5% as of 04:50 UTC Tuesday, up 8pp from Monday's open, as the Pentagon cites a six-month mine-clearance timeline.
Filed June 23, 2026
Hormuz July 31 YES priced at 48.5% as of 03:30 UTC Tuesday, up 8pp overnight, as mine-clearance timelines cap the peace-accord catalyst.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Hormuz-by-June-30 recovery contract priced at 6.5% as of 00:26 UTC Tuesday — its 24-hour session high — with mine clearance not yet started, transit volumes far below the ≥60 threshold, and seven days to deadline.
Filed June 23, 2026
Hormuz July-31 YES climbs to 48.5% at 23:36 UTC Monday, up 9pp from 39.5%, as US-Iran Switzerland talks yield a maritime safe-passage mechanism.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Hormuz June-recovery contract sits at 6.5% as of 21:27 UTC Monday — 1pp above Sunday's close — as a two-month mine-clearance timeline erases any prospect of the 60-vessel transit threshold by June 30.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Hormuz July 31 recovery contract trades at 49.5% as of 19:22 UTC Monday, up 9pp from the session open, after a 51.5% session high faded on mine-clearance math.
Filed June 22, 2026
The July 31 Strait of Hormuz normalization contract priced at 50.5% at 15:02 UTC Monday after a +10pp session surge, sitting near even money while mine clearance timelines and elevated insurance costs do the work politics cannot.
Filed June 22, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz return-to-normal YES contract held at 5.5% at 11:49 UTC Monday as shipping operators project a four-month wait before transit normalizes.
Filed June 22, 2026
Strait of Hormuz June YES at 5.5% Monday — down 2pp — as mine-clearance timelines swamp the eight-day window to resolution.
Filed June 22, 2026
The Hormuz June normalization contract holds at 6.5% as of 13:49 UTC Sunday, with a two-month mine-clearance timeline and war-risk premiums well above the pre-war baseline sealing NO.
Filed June 21, 2026
At 7.5% as of 2026-06-21T05:22 UTC, the Hormuz June 30 normalization contract prices near-certain failure — a six-month mine-clearance clock is overriding a signed US-Iran memorandum of understanding with nine days to the deadline.
Filed June 21, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract fell to 6.5% as of 00:21 UTC Sunday, surrendering Saturday's 10.5% session high as an eight-week mine-clearance timeline renders the June 30 deadline structurally unreachable.
Filed June 21, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June traffic recovery contract reached 10.5% at 12:35 UTC Saturday—its 24-hour session high—but six-month mine timelines still make normalization a 1-in-9.5 shot.
Filed June 20, 2026
Hormuz YES holds at 9.5% Saturday morning, up 1pp in 24 hours, as mine-clearance timelines block June normalization regardless of the Iran peace accord.
Filed June 20, 2026
Polymarket's Strait of Hormuz traffic-normalization contract priced YES at 8.5% as of 02:31 UTC Saturday — down 6 points in 24 hours — as a two-month mine-clearance timeline dwarfs the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 20, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery contract stands at 8.5% at 23:19 UTC Friday, down 6pp from a 14.5% open, as six-month mine-clearance timelines override the Iran peace accord.
Filed June 20, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-30 recovery contract has fallen to 9.5% as of 07:25 UTC on June 19, down 9pp in the 24-hour window, as mine-clearance timelines overwhelm the US-Iran peace deal's momentum.
Filed June 19, 2026
The Hormuz June normalization contract hit 12.5¢ at 05:41 UTC Friday — down 9 points in 24 hours — as AIS shows near-zero traffic and the transit MOU's drafts remain disavowed.
Filed June 19, 2026
The Hormuz June-normalization YES is at 13.5% on Friday, down 9 points in 24 hours, as mine-clearance timelines foreclose any end-of-month recovery.
Filed June 19, 2026