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Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?1¢— —

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?22¢▼ −5.0 pts

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?0¢▼ −0.2 pts

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?100¢▲ +2.4 pts

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2¢— —

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1¢— —

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-297¢▲ +35 pts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?2¢▼ −1.1 pts

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1¢▼ −0.1 pts

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4¢▲ +0.3 pts

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner100¢▲ +41 pts

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2¢— —

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner0¢▼ −56 pts

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0¢— —

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1¢— —

Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong17¢▼ −26 pts

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1¢— —

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0¢— —

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?1¢— —

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?22¢▼ −5.0 pts

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?0¢▼ −0.2 pts

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?100¢▲ +2.4 pts

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2¢— —

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1¢— —

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-297¢▲ +35 pts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?2¢▼ −1.1 pts

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1¢▼ −0.1 pts

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4¢▲ +0.3 pts

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner100¢▲ +41 pts

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2¢— —

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner0¢▼ −56 pts

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0¢— —

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1¢— —

Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong17¢▼ −26 pts

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1¢— —

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0¢— —

Sports · Lead Market

Spurs title contract collapses to 15% as Thunder seize 3-2 lead

Polymarket puts San Antonio at 15.05% to win the 2026 NBA Finals as of 05:54 UTC Wednesday, down 10.05 points in 24 hours after Oklahoma City took Game 5.

14¢implied▼−10 pts

Filed 5h ago

Around the Markets

Biggest movers right now

Full screener ↗

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
0¢▼ -56.4pp
Open in premium ↗
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
100¢▲ +40.9pp
Open in premium ↗
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
97¢▲ +35.0pp
Open in premium ↗
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong
12¢▼ -31.0pp
Open in premium ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
0¢▼ -7.4pp
Open in premium ↗◆ Orakll
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
22¢▼ -5.0pp
Open in premium ↗◆ Orakll

Source: Polymarket Gamma · refreshed every minute

Politics

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Politics

Iran internet contract fades from 84% peak to 59.4% on partial-restoration reread

Polymarket prices the May 31 internet-restoration question at 59.4% at 03:49 UTC May 27, down 14pp from PPC's 74.6% snapshot three hours earlier.

56¢implied▲+40 pts

02
Iran internet contract rips +46.9pp to 74.6% on partial restoration
56¢implied▲+40 pts
03
Iran May 31 airspace contract decays to 24.15% as cluster slips
9¢implied▼−16 pts
04
Iran May 31 ceasefire-extension contract round-trips to 39.5%
42¢implied▲+1.0 pts

Sports

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Sports

Spurs title contract collapses to 15% as Thunder seize 3-2 lead

Polymarket puts San Antonio at 15.05% to win the 2026 NBA Finals as of 05:54 UTC Wednesday, down 10.05 points in 24 hours after Oklahoma City took Game 5.

14¢implied▼−10 pts

Culture

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Culture

Musk 240-259 tweet contract rips to 29.35% as live count hits 256

Polymarket prices the 240-259 tweet-count bin at 29.35% at 09:29 UTC May 26, up 11.65pp on $335k of 24h volume.

02
June 7 Iran peace contract climbs to 40.5% on 60-day framework
35¢implied▼−4.0 pts
03
Hormuz traffic-recovery market falls to 5% with nine days left
2¢implied▼−1.0 pts

Spurs title contract collapses to 15% as Thunder seize 3-2 lead

Iran internet contract fades from 84% peak to 59.4% on partial-restoration reread

Thunder contract rips to 86.5% with OKC up 12 in Game 5

Avalanche contract collapses to 34¢ as Vegas hosts Game 4 up 3-0

Biggest movers right now

Politics

Iran internet contract fades from 84% peak to 59.4% on partial-restoration reread

Iran internet contract rips +46.9pp to 74.6% on partial restoration

Iran May 31 airspace contract decays to 24.15% as cluster slips

Iran May 31 ceasefire-extension contract round-trips to 39.5%

Sports

Spurs title contract collapses to 15% as Thunder seize 3-2 lead

Thunder contract rips to 86.5% with OKC up 12 in Game 5

Avalanche contract collapses to 34¢ as Vegas hosts Game 4 up 3-0

Walton contract settles to 99.95% on Medvedev R1 upset

Culture

Musk 240-259 tweet contract rips to 29.35% as live count hits 256

June 7 Iran peace contract climbs to 40.5% on 60-day framework

Hormuz traffic-recovery market falls to 5% with nine days left

Spurs title contract collapses to 15% as Thunder seize 3-2 lead

Iran internet contract fades from 84% peak to 59.4% on partial-restoration reread

Thunder contract rips to 86.5% with OKC up 12 in Game 5

Avalanche contract collapses to 34¢ as Vegas hosts Game 4 up 3-0

Biggest movers right now

Politics

Iran internet contract fades from 84% peak to 59.4% on partial-restoration reread

Iran internet contract rips +46.9pp to 74.6% on partial restoration

Iran May 31 airspace contract decays to 24.15% as cluster slips

Iran May 31 ceasefire-extension contract round-trips to 39.5%

Sports

Spurs title contract collapses to 15% as Thunder seize 3-2 lead

Thunder contract rips to 86.5% with OKC up 12 in Game 5

Avalanche contract collapses to 34¢ as Vegas hosts Game 4 up 3-0

Walton contract settles to 99.95% on Medvedev R1 upset

Culture

Musk 240-259 tweet contract rips to 29.35% as live count hits 256

June 7 Iran peace contract climbs to 40.5% on 60-day framework

Hormuz traffic-recovery market falls to 5% with nine days left