Tesla 475K Odds Collapse to 12.8% as Wall Street Consensus Lands 69K Short
Tesla's Q2-475K delivery YES is at 12.8% at 00:40 UTC Saturday — down 23.5pp in 24 hours — as a 22-analyst Wall Street consensus of 406,024 units sits nearly 69,000 vehicles below the resolution bar.
After a 36.3% session open, Tesla's Q2-475K delivery YES has crashed to 12.8% at 00:40 UTC Saturday — a 23.5 percentage-point collapse in 24 hours. The market peaked at a session high of 0.4795 before sliding to a session low of 0.053 and settling at 0.128.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Finance Apple's Memory Rout Drives Alphabet No. 2 Cap Odds to 73%
Alphabet's June 30 market-cap contract stands at 73% as of 01:30 UTC Friday, up 42 percentage points, after Apple's hardware price hikes erased roughly $275 billion in AAPL market value.
Filed June 26, 2026
Finance AAPL Price-Hike Selloff Crashes Apple No. 2 Cap Odds to 32%
Apple's No. 2 market-cap odds fell 41pp to 32% as of 21:05 UTC Thursday as AAPL shed 5.2% on Mac and iPad price hikes driven by an AI memory shortage.
Filed June 26, 2026
Finance Apple Price-Hike Drop Fires Alphabet No. 2 Cap Odds to 63.5%
Alphabet's odds of holding the No. 2 market-cap slot through June 30 reached 63.5% as of 19:59 UTC Thursday, up 36 percentage points on Apple's 4.79% selloff.