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Market data references Polymarket contracts. Coverage is generated, reviewed, and published without a human in the loop. Not financial advice.

Orakll Section

Crypto

Digital-asset markets — price targets, ETFs and protocol bets.

60 reports on the wire

Crypto · Lead Market

BTC Cascade Drives June-27 DOWN Odds to 84.5%

Bitcoin's June 27 market prices DOWN at 84.5% as of 01:25 UTC Saturday, sustaining the $397M liquidation cascade that locked in BTC's June 26 noon ET reference.

By Yuki Tanaka · Filed June 27, 2026

Crypto
Bitcoin $57.5K June Dip Odds at 39.5%, Down 16.4pp Over 24 Hours
Bitcoin's $57,500 June dip market on Polymarket sits at 39.45% as of 17:57 UTC Friday, down 16.4pp after a 77.5% session peak on Fed-week liquidation fears.
Filed June 26, 2026
Crypto
ETH $1,600 YES Skids to 13.8% With 9.5 Hours to Close
Ethereum's $1,600-at-noon YES market has fallen to 13.8% as of 06:33 UTC Friday, down 66.85pp in 24 hours as Fed-driven liquidations continue.

Filed June 26, 2026

Crypto

ETH $1,600 YES Crashes 36pp to 26% With 18 Hours to Resolution

Ethereum's June 26 $1,600 threshold market is priced at 26% YES as of 22:16 UTC Thursday — 36 points off the 24-hour open — with fewer than 18 hours to Binance's noon-ET close.

Filed June 26, 2026

Crypto

$397M Liquidation Cascade Drops Bitcoin $60k Odds Below 50%

Bitcoin's $60k same-day YES has fallen 23.5 percentage points to 49% as of 22:10 UTC Thursday amid a $397 million liquidation cascade tied to hawkish Federal Reserve signals.

Filed June 26, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $57.5K Dip Odds Hold at 31.55% After 68.45% Intraday Peak

The Bitcoin dip-to-$57,500 YES contract sits at 31.55% as of 04:18 UTC Thursday — up 16.7pp net on the session after a Fed-driven spike to 68.45% and a volatile overnight retreat.

Filed June 25, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin June-24 UP Hits Session-High 77.5% on 38pp Floor Reversal

Bitcoin's June-24 UP contract hit 77.5% at 11:49 UTC Wednesday — a new session high, up 38pp off the morning floor in 23 minutes.

Filed June 24, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $62k YES Holds at 83.95% as $171M Liquidation Floor Absorbs Fed Shock

Bitcoin's June 24 $62k contract sits at 83.95% as of 10:19 UTC Wednesday, 29.8 points above the session floor with noon-ET settlement hours out.

Filed June 24, 2026

Crypto

ETH June-24 UP at 65.5% After Overnight Fed-Shock Recovery

Ethereum's June-24 UP prices at 65.5% at 08:22 UTC Wednesday, up 16pp overnight as taker-buys absorbed Tuesday's Federal Reserve selloff.

Filed June 24, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin June-24 UP Rallies 17pp to 66.5% on Post-Fed Stabilization

Bitcoin's same-day UP contract priced at 66.5% as of 06:07 UTC Wednesday, up 17 points overnight as post-FOMC liquidation flows reverse ahead of noon-ET resolution.

Filed June 24, 2026

Crypto

Fed Flush Keeps Bitcoin $64k June-24 YES at 9.5% After 1,621-Share Dip Buy

Bitcoin's June-24 $64,000 YES contract sits at 9.5% at 05:20 UTC Wednesday, bouncing from 7.5% as Fed-driven NO conviction keeps the ask wall firm.

Filed June 24, 2026

Crypto

ETH $1,700 June-24 YES Retreats to 14.5% After Bounce Fades

Ethereum's June-24 $1,700 YES contract priced at 14.5% at 05:12 UTC Wednesday, down 52.5pp from its June 23 open, with noon-ET Binance settlement roughly 11 hours away.

Filed June 24, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64k June 24 YES Slides to 11.5% on Fed Rate-Hike Overhang

The June 24 Bitcoin $64,000 YES contract is at 11.5% as of 02:10 UTC Wednesday, down 42 percentage points from its 53.5% session open.

Filed June 24, 2026

Crypto

BTC $60k Dip Odds Hit 42% as Fed Cascade Extends

Bitcoin's $60k-dip contract priced YES at 42% as of 15:08 UTC Tuesday, up 27pp in 24 hours, as a post-FOMC liquidation cascade pushes BTC through $64,000 support.

Filed June 23, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $62k YES Rises to 67.6% as Buy-Side Absorbs Morning Cascade

Bitcoin's June-23 $62k YES contract stands at 67.55% as of 08:58 UTC Tuesday, down 26.05pp over 24 hours, with coinman2 leading the YES buy-in as BTC spot recovers to $62,383.

Filed June 23, 2026

Crypto

BTC $64K June-23 YES Crashes 48pp to 13.5% on Liquidation Cascade

Bitcoin's June 23 above-$64k contract sits at 13.5% at 07:40 UTC Tuesday — down 48pp since Monday's open — after a $1.1B crypto liquidation cascade drove spot BTC below the threshold overnight.

Filed June 23, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin UP Contract Collapses 72pp in 23 Minutes to 0.45%

Bitcoin's 11 AM ET UP-or-DOWN contract stands at 0.45% at 15:57 UTC Monday — down 72.05pp from a 72.5% sampled peak just 23 minutes before the 16:00 UTC close.

Filed June 22, 2026

Crypto

ETH Bounces From Overnight Low, Ethereum UP Market at 76.5%

Ethereum UP/DOWN is at 76.5% YES as of 09:42 UTC Monday, up 26.5pp from the 50% open, after ETH bounced off a $1,701.94 overnight low.

Filed June 22, 2026

Crypto

BTC at $64,145 Keeps June-22 YES at 58.5% Into Sunday Close

Bitcoin's June-22 $64k YES contract holds at 58.5% as of Sunday 19:59 UTC—up 10pp on the day—with spot BTC at $64,145 just $145 above Monday's noon-ET settlement bar.

Filed June 21, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64k June-21 YES Recovers to 72.5% After Whipsaw to 87.5% Session High

Bitcoin's June-21 above-$64k contract sits at 72.5% as of 13:29 UTC Sunday — 15pp below the 87.5% session peak — with the noon-ET Binance close two hours away.

Filed June 21, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin's $62-64K Bracket Surges 47.5pp to 92% on Post-FOMC Selloff

Traders pushed Bitcoin's $62,000–$64,000 June 20 bracket to 92% at 22:54 UTC Friday, a 47.5-point surge as post-Fed selling pinned spot firmly in the range.

Filed June 20, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64K Friday Odds Crash 49 Points to 15.5% as Spot Breaks Support

Bitcoin's $64K June 19 contract has cratered to 15.5% as of 01:00 UTC Friday, down 49 points in 24 hours.

Filed June 19, 2026

Crypto

ETH $1,800 Wednesday Odds Fade to 44.5% as Spot Stalls Pre-FOMC

Ethereum's June 17 $1,800 contract is at 44.5% YES as of 04:39 UTC — 31pp off the 75.5% session peak — with noon-ET settlement now 11 hours away.

Filed June 17, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin DOWN at 87.5% After Dual 94.5% Peaks as FOMC Looms

Bitcoin DOWN at 87.5% as of 12:09 UTC Tuesday—four hours from settlement—after dual 94.5% peaks at 03:13 and 04:51 UTC as Warsh's first FOMC caps the Iran-deal rally reversal.

Filed June 16, 2026

Crypto

Iran Rally Fires Bitcoin $66K Tuesday Contract to 82.5%

Bitcoin's $66K Tuesday contract sits at 82.5% at 11:02 UTC, up 44pp over 24 hours on the Iran peace deal and Strategy's $100M bitcoin buy.

Filed June 16, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin DOWN at 94.5% as Iran Rally Fades Into Fed-Week Jitters

Bitcoin's June 16 DOWN contract stands at 94.5% as of 02:30 UTC Tuesday — the 'Up' token at its session floor of 5.5% — as BTC spot retreats from Monday's Iran-deal peak ahead of Tuesday's noon-ET settlement.

Filed June 16, 2026

Crypto

Ethereum $1,800 Monday Contract Surges to 93.5% on Iran Peace Deal

Ethereum's $1,800 same-day settlement contract prices at 93.5% as of 15:12 UTC Monday, up nearly 90 percentage points in 24 hours as the Iran peace deal drove ETH past the strike.

Filed June 15, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $66K Monday Contract Hits 86.5% on Iran Peace Deal

The Bitcoin above-$66K Monday settlement contract hit 86.5% at 13:00 UTC, up 75 points from its session open, on the confirmed US-Iran peace deal.

Filed June 15, 2026

Crypto

Iran Peace Deal Fires Bitcoin $67.5K June Contract to 70.5%

Bitcoin's $67.5K June contract priced at 70.5% at 02:35 UTC Monday, up 14 points after Trump declared the US-Iran deal complete.

Filed June 15, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin June-15 UP at 91.5% After Iran Deal Fires 44.5pp Surge

The Bitcoin June-15 UP contract sits at 91.5% as of 00:45 UTC Monday, up 44.5pp in 24 hours after Trump declared the U.S.-Iran deal complete.

Filed June 15, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $66K Monday Bet at 37.5%, Fading 8pp From 45.5% Session High

The June 15 $66K Bitcoin contract sits at 37.5% at 00:34 UTC Monday, up 22pp from Sunday's open after Trump's Iran deal fired spot BTC past $65,000, fading 8pp from the 45.5% session high.

Filed June 15, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64K Sunday Contract at 84.5% Three Hours to Noon ET

The Bitcoin above-$64,000 June 14 contract sits at 84.5% as of 13:12 UTC, up 29 percentage points over 24 hours with the Binance noon ET close under three hours away.

Filed June 14, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64K Sunday Contract at 68.5%, 14pp Below Overnight Peak

Polymarket's June 14 BTC $64K contract traded at 68.5% as of 06:54 UTC Sunday, 14 points below its overnight peak.

Filed June 14, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin's $67.5K June Target at 56.5%, 36 Points Below the $65K Floor

The $67.5k Bitcoin June contract rose 12 points Saturday to 56.5%, a 36-point gap below the near-certain $65k floor now trading at 92.5%.

Filed June 14, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64K Sunday Bet at 71.5% After 43-Point Overnight Surge

The Polymarket contract on Bitcoin above $64,000 on June 14 priced at 71.5% YES as of 22:24 UTC Saturday, up 43 percentage points over 24 hours as spot recovered from below the strike.

Filed June 14, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin June-13 Up/Down Hits 95.5% With Three Hours to Settlement

The June 13 Bitcoin Up or Down contract reached 95.5% YES at 13:12 UTC Saturday, up 46pp on the day, as BTC spot at $64,141 cleared Friday's noon reference level.

Filed June 13, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64K YES Dives to 15.5% as Spot Stalls Below Strike

Bitcoin's above-$64K YES priced at 15.5% at 22:40 UTC Friday, off 23.5pp from its session open, with noon-ET Saturday settlement just over 17 hours away.

Filed June 13, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $64K June 9 Contract Crashes to 16.5% in Overnight Reversal

The Bitcoin $64,000 June 9 contract sits at 16.5% as of 00:45 UTC Tuesday—down 31 points from Monday's session open—with BTC trapped below the threshold and 15 hours to noon ET resolution.

Filed June 9, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $62K June 9 Contract at 90.5% as BTC Holds Recovery

The June 9 Bitcoin-above-$62K contract hit 90.5% at 21:37 UTC Monday, up 42.9 points in 24 hours as BTC recovers to $63,684.

Filed June 9, 2026

Crypto

MicroStrategy Purchase Odds Hit 91.2% as Saylor Signal Firms

Strategy's June 2–8 Bitcoin-purchase contract reached 91.2% at 15:28 UTC Sunday, up 43.35 percentage points in 24 hours, as Saylor's "Working ₿etter" post fuels near-deadline conviction.

Filed June 7, 2026

Crypto

Ethereum $1,500 Dip Conviction Falls to 62.5% as Cascade Stabilizes

Polymarket's ETH dip-to-$1,500 June contract stands at 62.5% at 11:37 UTC Sunday — down 19.5 percentage points in 24 hours as Bitcoin recovers from $59,227 and the Mt. Gox cascade eases.

Filed June 7, 2026

Crypto

Ethereum $1,600 Contract Climbs to 87.2% as Mt. Gox Cascade Reverses

Ethereum's same-day $1,600 contract rose to 87.15% at 11:30 UTC Sunday, up 60.85pp on the session, as overnight BTC recovery dissolves the Mt. Gox cascade thesis.

Filed June 7, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $62K Contract Climbs to 77.5% as BTC Holds Recovery

The June 7 contract stands at 77.5% as of 10:32 UTC Sunday — up 58 percentage points from its 19.5% session open — as Bitcoin holds above $62,000 with roughly five and a half hours to noon ET resolution.

Filed June 7, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $62K June 7 Contract Falls to 18.5% as Cascade Selling Goes Market-Wide

At 18.5% as of 22:21 UTC Saturday — a 23-point collapse in 24 hours — the Bitcoin $62k noon contract gives BTC less than 1-in-5 odds with resolution fewer than 18 hours away.

Filed June 7, 2026

Crypto

Ethereum $1,500 June Dip at 81.5% as Mt. Gox Cascade Deepens Into Fifth Day

The ETH $1,500 June dip contract reached 81.5% as of 13:50 UTC Saturday — up 25pp from its Friday open — as Mt. Gox cascade pressure deepens through month-end.

Filed June 6, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin Up Contract Holds 91.5% as Noon ET Close Nears

Bitcoin Up at 91.5% at 13:01 UTC Saturday, 39pp above Friday's 52.5% open, as Binance's noon ET resolution closes in three hours.

Filed June 6, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin Up Contract Holds 80.5% as Mt. Gox Cascade Grips June 6 Close

Bitcoin's June 6 noon-ET direction contract stands at 80.5% for 'Up' as of 11:39 UTC Saturday, up 29pp from the session open, as Mt. Gox cascade volatility deepens.

Filed June 6, 2026

Crypto

Ethereum Breaks $1,700 as June 5 Contract Collapses to 26%

Ethereum's June 5 $1,700 floor contract has collapsed to 25.6% as of 08:22 UTC Friday as spot ETH slides to $1,665.

Filed June 5, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Holds 77.5% as Mt. Gox's $739M New-Wallet Move Anchors Cascade Conviction

At 77.5% at 07:31 UTC Friday, the contract is 13pp above its session open after Mt. Gox moved $739M to a new wallet and separately routed 116.3 BTC to Bitstamp.

Filed June 5, 2026

Crypto

Mt. Gox's Bitstamp Routing Extends Bitcoin $60K Dip Contract to 80.5%

Bitcoin's June $60K dip contract reached 80.5% at 06:36 UTC Friday, 22 points above Thursday's session open, as Mt. Gox's Bitstamp transfers fuel cascade conviction.

Filed June 5, 2026

Crypto

Mt. Gox's Bitstamp Routing Firms Bitcoin $60K June Dip to 68.5%

The contract stood at 68.5% at 04:23 UTC Friday, up 16 percentage points in 24 hours, after Mt. Gox made its first confirmed delivery to a live exchange.

Filed June 5, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K Dip Firms to 72.5% on Unspent Mt. Gox Overhang

The Bitcoin $60k June dip contract leapt to 72.5% as of 03:29 UTC Friday as Mt. Gox's 10,422 unspent BTC sustains cascade conviction through month-end.

Filed June 5, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Holds 62.5% as Mt. Gox BTC Stays Unspent

The June $60k Bitcoin dip contract holds 62.5% at 23:05 UTC Thursday, down 15pp from its morning peak as Mt. Gox coins sit unspent.

Filed June 5, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K Dip Holds 62.5% as Mt. Gox Deadline Anchors Month-End Risk

The June $60k dip contract holds 62.5% as of 21:09 UTC Thursday, up 17pp on the session, as Mt. Gox's October deadline anchors cascade conviction.

Filed June 5, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K Dip Re-Firms to 61.5% as Cascade Conviction Holds

The $60K June dip contract holds 61.5% Thursday — up 23pp from the 38.5% session floor — as Mt. Gox cascade anxiety sustains structured YES conviction.

Filed June 4, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Eases to 58.5% Off Overnight Peak

$60,000 Bitcoin dip contract at 58.5% as of 15:21 UTC Thursday, 25pp above its session open as Mt. Gox transfer fears hold YES conviction intact.

Filed June 4, 2026

Crypto

Ethereum $1,700 June Dip Holds 74.5% on Mt. Gox Cascade

The ETH $1,700 June dip contract is at 74.5% as of 13:40 UTC Thursday — up 26pp in 24 hours on the Mt. Gox distribution cascade.

Filed June 4, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K Dip Contract Extends to 72.5% on Mt. Gox Cascade

The Bitcoin $60,000 June dip contract sits at 72.5% as of 12:21 UTC Thursday — 40pp above its session open — as Mt. Gox distribution fears deepen.

Filed June 4, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Contract Surges to 70.5% on Mt. Gox Cascade

Bitcoin $60K June dip contract stands at 70.5% as of 09:32 UTC Thursday, up 37 points from its 24-hour session open.

Filed June 4, 2026

Crypto

Bitcoin $62K June 4 Contract at 65.6% After Double Recovery Fades

The BTC-above-$62,000 noon ET contract sits at 65.6% at 09:26 UTC Thursday, down 29.85pp in 24h after Mt. Gox pushed BTC briefly below the $62,000 threshold.

Filed June 4, 2026

BTC Cascade Drives June-27 DOWN Odds to 84.5%

Bitcoin $57.5K June Dip Odds at 39.5%, Down 16.4pp Over 24 Hours

ETH $1,600 YES Skids to 13.8% With 9.5 Hours to Close

ETH $1,600 YES Crashes 36pp to 26% With 18 Hours to Resolution

$397M Liquidation Cascade Drops Bitcoin $60k Odds Below 50%

Bitcoin $57.5K Dip Odds Hold at 31.55% After 68.45% Intraday Peak

Bitcoin June-24 UP Hits Session-High 77.5% on 38pp Floor Reversal

Bitcoin $62k YES Holds at 83.95% as $171M Liquidation Floor Absorbs Fed Shock

ETH June-24 UP at 65.5% After Overnight Fed-Shock Recovery

Bitcoin June-24 UP Rallies 17pp to 66.5% on Post-Fed Stabilization

Fed Flush Keeps Bitcoin $64k June-24 YES at 9.5% After 1,621-Share Dip Buy

ETH $1,700 June-24 YES Retreats to 14.5% After Bounce Fades

Bitcoin $64k June 24 YES Slides to 11.5% on Fed Rate-Hike Overhang

BTC $60k Dip Odds Hit 42% as Fed Cascade Extends

Bitcoin $62k YES Rises to 67.6% as Buy-Side Absorbs Morning Cascade

BTC $64K June-23 YES Crashes 48pp to 13.5% on Liquidation Cascade

Bitcoin UP Contract Collapses 72pp in 23 Minutes to 0.45%

ETH Bounces From Overnight Low, Ethereum UP Market at 76.5%

BTC at $64,145 Keeps June-22 YES at 58.5% Into Sunday Close

Bitcoin $64k June-21 YES Recovers to 72.5% After Whipsaw to 87.5% Session High

Bitcoin's $62-64K Bracket Surges 47.5pp to 92% on Post-FOMC Selloff

Bitcoin $64K Friday Odds Crash 49 Points to 15.5% as Spot Breaks Support

ETH $1,800 Wednesday Odds Fade to 44.5% as Spot Stalls Pre-FOMC

Bitcoin DOWN at 87.5% After Dual 94.5% Peaks as FOMC Looms

Iran Rally Fires Bitcoin $66K Tuesday Contract to 82.5%

Bitcoin DOWN at 94.5% as Iran Rally Fades Into Fed-Week Jitters

Ethereum $1,800 Monday Contract Surges to 93.5% on Iran Peace Deal

Bitcoin $66K Monday Contract Hits 86.5% on Iran Peace Deal

Iran Peace Deal Fires Bitcoin $67.5K June Contract to 70.5%

Bitcoin June-15 UP at 91.5% After Iran Deal Fires 44.5pp Surge

Bitcoin $66K Monday Bet at 37.5%, Fading 8pp From 45.5% Session High

Bitcoin $64K Sunday Contract at 84.5% Three Hours to Noon ET

Bitcoin $64K Sunday Contract at 68.5%, 14pp Below Overnight Peak

Bitcoin's $67.5K June Target at 56.5%, 36 Points Below the $65K Floor

Bitcoin $64K Sunday Bet at 71.5% After 43-Point Overnight Surge

Bitcoin June-13 Up/Down Hits 95.5% With Three Hours to Settlement

Bitcoin $64K YES Dives to 15.5% as Spot Stalls Below Strike

Bitcoin $64K June 9 Contract Crashes to 16.5% in Overnight Reversal

Bitcoin $62K June 9 Contract at 90.5% as BTC Holds Recovery

MicroStrategy Purchase Odds Hit 91.2% as Saylor Signal Firms

Ethereum $1,500 Dip Conviction Falls to 62.5% as Cascade Stabilizes

Ethereum $1,600 Contract Climbs to 87.2% as Mt. Gox Cascade Reverses

Bitcoin $62K Contract Climbs to 77.5% as BTC Holds Recovery

Bitcoin $62K June 7 Contract Falls to 18.5% as Cascade Selling Goes Market-Wide

Ethereum $1,500 June Dip at 81.5% as Mt. Gox Cascade Deepens Into Fifth Day

Bitcoin Up Contract Holds 91.5% as Noon ET Close Nears

Bitcoin Up Contract Holds 80.5% as Mt. Gox Cascade Grips June 6 Close

Ethereum Breaks $1,700 as June 5 Contract Collapses to 26%

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Holds 77.5% as Mt. Gox's $739M New-Wallet Move Anchors Cascade Conviction

Mt. Gox's Bitstamp Routing Extends Bitcoin $60K Dip Contract to 80.5%

Mt. Gox's Bitstamp Routing Firms Bitcoin $60K June Dip to 68.5%

Bitcoin $60K Dip Firms to 72.5% on Unspent Mt. Gox Overhang

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Holds 62.5% as Mt. Gox BTC Stays Unspent

Bitcoin $60K Dip Holds 62.5% as Mt. Gox Deadline Anchors Month-End Risk

Bitcoin $60K Dip Re-Firms to 61.5% as Cascade Conviction Holds

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Eases to 58.5% Off Overnight Peak

Ethereum $1,700 June Dip Holds 74.5% on Mt. Gox Cascade

Bitcoin $60K Dip Contract Extends to 72.5% on Mt. Gox Cascade

Bitcoin $60K June Dip Contract Surges to 70.5% on Mt. Gox Cascade

Bitcoin $62K June 4 Contract at 65.6% After Double Recovery Fades