Mine Clock Checks Hormuz July YES at 56.5% After 11pp Climb
Hormuz July YES has climbed to 56.5% as of 16:41 UTC Thursday, adding 11pp as ceasefire optimism outruns the mine-clearance clock.
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The Polymarket contract pricing Strait of Hormuz normalization by July 31 has added 11 percentage points to 56.5% as of 16:41 UTC Thursday, extending an earlier rally fueled by a weekend transit record that had pushed the contract through prior resistance. The session opened at 0.455 at 16:42 UTC Wednesday, with the bulk of buying concentrated in the morning hours before a sharp intraday retreat.
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