Sellers Cap Hormuz July YES at 49.5% After Even-Money Break
The Hormuz July 31 recovery contract trades at 49.5% as of 19:22 UTC Monday, up 9pp from the session open, after a 51.5% session high faded on mine-clearance math.
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery market sits at 49.5% as of 19:22 UTC Monday — up 9pp from the 40.5% session open — after touching a 51.5% session high at 15:19 UTC before sellers pushed it back below even money. The contract resolves YES once IMF Portwatch's 7-day transit-call average for the Strait hits 60; that bar remains uncleared.
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5¢implied▼−3.0 ptsFiled June 25, 2026
Economics Mine-Clearance Clock Holds Hormuz July YES at Even Money
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery market prices at 48.5% Tuesday morning, as a two-month mine-clearance estimate runs against a 38-day deadline.