Deal Signed, Mines Remain: Hormuz July YES Near Even Money
The Hormuz July 31 normalization contract holds at 48.5% Tuesday — near contested — as mine-clearance timelines override the Iran peace-accord rally.
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 normalization contract sat at 48.5% at 05:42 UTC Tuesday — up 8 percentage points from the session's 0.405 open, with $576,000 in 24-hour volume — while Orakll's overnight coverage tracked the surge in real time. The contract stays near even money despite the Iran-U.S. peace accord: physical mine clearance, not diplomatic progress, is the binding constraint on supply-chain normalization.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Economics Post-War Traffic Peak Keeps Hormuz July YES Pinned at 48.5%
Hormuz July YES is at 48.5% as of 08:46 UTC Thursday; post-war traffic hit a weekend high but confirmed mines block the central channel from full recovery.
5¢implied▼−3.0 ptsFiled June 25, 2026
Economics Mine-Clearance Clock Holds Hormuz July YES at Even Money
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery market prices at 48.5% Tuesday morning, as a two-month mine-clearance estimate runs against a 38-day deadline.