Framework-to-Deal Gap Keeps US-Iran August Deadline at 22.5%
The US-Iran final nuclear deal market sits at 22.5% as of 12:30 UTC Wednesday, down 6 percentage points in 24 hours on widening enrichment impasses.
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The market for a US-Iran final nuclear deal by August 31, 2026 stands at 22.5% as of 12:30 UTC Wednesday — down 6 percentage points from a session open of 28.5%. The session high of 29.5%, reached at 00:26 UTC per the price history, has given way to the session low of 22.5%, first hit at 11:20 UTC, as traders reprice the structural gap between the signed Versailles framework and the legally binding, quantified instrument this contract requires.
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