Every story is a market. Every market has a price.
9 results for “geopolitics”
Polymarket's Iran May 31 airspace-closure market is pricing 24.15% as of May 26 morning, down ~16pp from PPC's 40.5% snapshot three days back.
Filed 1d ago
The contract on a US-announced Iran ceasefire extension by tonight's 11:59 PM ET deadline trades at 8.5% as of 05:17 UTC May 26, down 7 points on $635k of 24h volume.
Filed 1d ago
PPC's tracker has the June 7 US-Iran permanent-peace contract at 40.5% as of 04:15 UTC May 26 — up 8 points in 24 hours on $327k of volume.
Filed 1d ago
Polymarket's May 31 US–Iran ceasefire-extension contract jumped +14.5pp in 24 hours to 52% by 20:58 UTC May 25 on $509k of volume.
Filed 2d ago
Seven US-Iran contracts moved opposite directions on May 25, 2026 — the ceasefire was bid to 91.5% while the May 31 treaty market wrote itself off at 30.5%, a 61-point gap.
Filed 2d ago
Polymarket put Strait of Hormuz returning to normal by June 30 at 47.5% at 21:51 UTC Sunday, down 15.5 points in 24 hours on $666k.
Filed 3d ago
Polymarket put a permanent US-Iran deal by May 31 at 23.5% Sunday afternoon, down 40 points in 24 hours on $5.24M of volume.
Filed 3d ago
Polymarket's deadline market trades at 9.5% as of 21:21 UTC Sunday, down 47.5 points in 24 hours on $7.36M after Trump tells negotiators not to rush.
Filed 3d ago
Polymarket puts a May 31 Iranian airspace closure at 40.5% as of 15:26 UTC May 23, up 19 points in 24 hours after a wild overnight session.
Filed 4d ago