Hormuz June Contract Hits 19.5% Floor as Mine-Clearance Timeline Holds
The Hormuz June recovery contract fell to a fresh session low of 19.5% at 05:09 UTC Tuesday as six-month mine-clearance estimates block the YES case despite the US-Iran accord.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
The Strait of Hormuz 'returns to normal by end of June' contract has slid to a 24h low of 19.5% at 05:09 UTC Tuesday — 11 percentage points below the session ceiling of 0.305 — as the physical barriers to transit remain entirely intact despite the June 15 US-Iran accord. The contract was last covered at 21.5% when the mine-clearance wall capped Monday's rally.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Economics Hormuz June Recovery at 15.5% as Transit Count Stays at 11% of Normal
The June 30 Hormuz normalization contract sat at 15.5% Thursday, down 5pp in 24 hours, as daily transits held at 11% of pre-crisis baseline.
Filed June 4, 2026
Economics Mine Clock and Elevated Insurance Pin Hormuz June YES at 6.5%
The Hormuz June normalization contract holds at 6.5% as of 13:49 UTC Sunday, with a two-month mine-clearance timeline and war-risk premiums well above the pre-war baseline sealing NO.
Filed June 21, 2026
Economics Hormuz YES Slides to 8.5% as Mine-Clearance Clock Holds
The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery contract stands at 8.5% at 23:19 UTC Friday, down 6pp from a 14.5% open, as six-month mine-clearance timelines override the Iran peace accord.