Iran June 15 Deal Holds 13.5%, Pricing 8-Point Deadline-Slip Premium
At 22:49 UTC Tuesday, Iran's June 15 permanent-peace contract held at 13.5% — 8pp above the June 7 sibling at 5.5% — as the MOU remains unsigned and Iran's talks suspension trims both windows.
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The June 15 US-Iran permanent-peace contract sits at 13.5% as of 22:49 UTC Tuesday, 8 percentage points above its June 7 sibling at 5.5% — the spread encoding what traders price as a deadline-slip premium: the slim but nonzero chance that talks drag past the June 7 deadline, then resolve before June 15. The contract slid from a session open of 16.5% to a daily floor of 12.5% before recovering, on $2.5M in 24-hour volume.
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