Iran Accord Declared Complete; June-15 YES Holds at 94.95%
Trump's 'deal complete' declaration pushed the June-15 YES contract to 94.95% as of 23:20 UTC Monday — still 5pp from par with fewer than five hours to Polymarket's 11:59 PM ET deadline.
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The "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?" contract prices at 94.95% as of 23:20 UTC Monday — up 10.4pp in 24 hours — even after Trump's Truth Social declaration that the accord "is now complete." Orakll's earlier coverage flagged the NO bid building into this deadline. The five-cent gap to par prices a concrete resolution ambiguity, not market doubt about the deal itself.
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