Sunday Window Closes Without Signature; Iran Deal Bounces to 16.1%
The June 15 US–Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 16.1% as of 16:10 UTC Sunday — down 13.7 percentage points in 24 hours — as Iran's FM publicly rejected Trump's Sunday signing pledge and the deadline approached unsigned.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
The June 15 US–Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 16.1% as of 16:10 UTC Sunday — down 13.7 percentage points in 24 hours — having fallen through the 11.85% level reported earlier today to a sampled session low of 8.85% at 14:33 UTC before recovering, as Trump's Sunday signing pledge closed without a signature and Iran's FM publicly rejected the timeline.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics Iran FM Rejects Sunday Signing; June-15 Deal Slides to 27.25%
The June-15 US-Iran peace-deal contract is at 27.25% at 19:01 UTC Saturday, retreating from a 36.55% sampled session high after Tehran's foreign ministry ruled out a Sunday signing.
Filed June 13, 2026
Politics Iran June 15 Deal Holds 13.5%, Pricing 8-Point Deadline-Slip Premium
At 22:49 UTC Tuesday, Iran's June 15 permanent-peace contract held at 13.5% — 8pp above the June 7 sibling at 5.5% — as the MOU remains unsigned and Iran's talks suspension trims both windows.
Filed June 3, 2026
Politics Trump Sunday Pledge, Iran Pushback Hold June-15 Deal at 25.55%
The US-Iran June-15 peace deal contract held at 25.55% at 01:44 UTC Sunday — up 9.4pp in 24 hours — as Trump's signing claim collides with Tehran's pushback ahead of Monday's deadline.