Hormuz Recovery Holds Near Coin Flip as Ceasefire Leaves Shipping Stranded
The July-31 Hormuz traffic-normalization contract sits at 48.5% as of 13:05 UTC Sunday, down 7 points from its 0.555 session open as the May MOU deadline expires unsigned.

YES probability · 24h change
- 24h vol
- $290k
- Liquidity
- $555k
- Contract
The July-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic-normalization contract stands at 48.5% as of its 13:05 UTC price point Sunday — down 7 percentage points from a 0.555 session open — as the May ceasefire deadline passes without a formally signed MOU. Prior Orakll coverage tracked the contract at 47.5¢ earlier Sunday before a modest bounce; the 24-hour range runs from a 0.465 floor to the 0.555 open.
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