Israel-Iran Peace at 11.85%, 87pp Below US-Iran Accord
The Israel-Iran June 30 peace market sits at 11.85% as of 05:00 UTC Tuesday, 86.8 percentage points below the US-Iran accord at 98.65%, as Trump's deal explicitly excludes bilateral normalization with Tel Aviv.
As of 05:00 UTC Tuesday, Israel-Iran permanent peace by June 30 trades at 11.85% on Polymarket — 86.8 percentage points below the US-Iran June 30 accord, which has climbed to 98.65%. The contract shed 6.9 percentage points in the past 24 hours as Trump's declaration that the bilateral US-Iran deal is "complete" proved to be a sell catalyst, not a lift, for the Israel-Iran market.
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