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25 results for “Israel”
The 'Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?' contract reached 73.95% at 19:42 UTC Wednesday — up 63.9pp in 24 hours — after Israeli strikes forced Iran's Civil Aviation Organisation to issue an immediate, indefinite suspension of all flight operations at Imam Khomeini International Airport.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Israel x Iran June 30 peace market is at 14.15% Wednesday afternoon, down 1.75pp on the session, as Lebanon withdrawal deadlock blocks any bilateral deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Israel-Iran peace-deal contract fell to 11.4% at 09:24 UTC Wednesday, down 3.25 points in 24 hours as Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon block the bilateral track.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Israel-Iran June 30 peace market sits at 11.85% as of 05:00 UTC Tuesday, 86.8 percentage points below the US-Iran accord at 98.65%, as Trump's deal explicitly excludes bilateral normalization with Tel Aviv.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 sits at 10.05% as of 00:34 UTC Tuesday — down 14.25pp in 24 hours — as Trump's completion of the bilateral US-Iran accord confirmed Israel was never at the negotiating table.
Filed June 16, 2026
Polymarket's Israel-Iran June 30 peace-deal contract hit 12.45% Saturday, up 7.2pp from its 24-hour open, as the 60-day truce extension framework sustains fresh buying.
Filed June 13, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract stands at 4.5% as of 07:03 UTC Friday, down 12pp from its 16.5% Thursday open, after Trump announced a 60-day ceasefire extension.
Filed June 12, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract reached 20% as of 16:17 UTC Wednesday — up from a 12.5% morning trough — as Iran's unresolved Lebanon-clause threat anchors residual escalation risk through June 15.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract hits 16.5% on Wednesday, up 6.5 points in 24 hours, as Iran's Lebanon condition keeps June 15 escalation risk alive.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure market holds at 12.5% as of 10:10 UTC Wednesday, 11 points below Tuesday's session peak following an oscillatory overnight.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract has settled at 12.5% as of 08:07 UTC Wednesday — up 2pp from the June 9 session open — after a volatile nine-hour oscillation twice retested 21.5% before NO sellers regained control.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's June 15 airspace-closure contract trades at 13.5% as of 06:07 UTC Wednesday, well off a June 9 session peak of 23.5%.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract drifted to 10.5% on Tuesday morning — down 42 points in 24 hours — as the Trump-brokered mutual halt absorbed the Iran barrage and held.
Filed June 9, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract fell to 11% as of 06:04 UTC Tuesday, down 47.5 points in 24 hours as Iran's June 7 missile exchange was absorbed without triggering a qualifying broad closure.
Filed June 9, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract stands at 11.5% Tuesday morning, down 41 points in 24 hours as Iran's June 7 barrage failed to force Israeli aviation restrictions.
Filed June 9, 2026
The Israel-closes-airspace contract stands at 11.5% as of 02:56 UTC Tuesday, down from 0.685 at the session's start, as both sides maintain their strike suspension.
Filed June 9, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract holds at 16.5% Monday evening, 16 points below the 24h open, as Iran's halt to strikes absorbs the barrage premium with six days left to June 15.
Filed June 9, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract stands at 12.5% as of 16:43 UTC Monday, 56 points below the session high of 68.5% reached at 04:07 UTC, after Iran declared a halt to its missile offensive.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's June-15 airspace-closure contract stands at 49% as of 10:09 UTC Monday, up 42.5pp overnight, after Iran's missile barrage shatters the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
The Israel airspace closure contract climbed to 54.5% Monday as Iran's 'Operation Nasr' barrages and Israeli counterstrikes on central Iran fracture the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure odds stand at 45% as of 03:57 UTC Monday — up 38.5pp in 24 hours after Iran's first missile barrage since the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract hit 52% at 01:33 UTC Monday, up from 18.5¢ at 00:45 UTC, as Iran threatens further strikes if Israeli attacks on Lebanon continue.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's June-15 airspace-closure contract sat at 31.5¢ as of 20:11 UTC Sunday — off a 71¢ session peak — as Iran's retaliatory barrage activated Israeli defenses without triggering a qualifying closure; the Iran June-8 contract held elevated at 55.3¢.
Filed June 7, 2026
Iran's June 8 airspace-closure contract jumped 57.8 points to 61.25% as of 19:40 UTC Sunday after Israel struck Hezbollah targets in Beirut and the IRGC vowed retaliation.
Filed June 7, 2026
The contract pricing an Israeli ceasefire-extension announcement by June 7 hit 83.5% at 02:02 UTC Thursday, up 67 percentage points from its 16.5% session open, on $512,035 of 24-hour volume.
Filed June 4, 2026