Israel Airspace-Closure Odds Crater to 11.5% as Mutual Halt Holds
The Israel-closes-airspace contract stands at 11.5% as of 02:56 UTC Tuesday, down from 0.685 at the session's start, as both sides maintain their strike suspension.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
The contract asking whether Israel closes its airspace by June 15 sits at 11.5% as of 02:56 UTC Tuesday, down from the 0.685 24-hour high, as the mutual suspension of Israeli and Iranian strikes has held through the night. Israeli commercial aviation continues to operate normally.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics Iran Barrage Absorbed; Israel Airspace Closure Odds Settle at 11%
The Israel airspace-closure contract fell to 11% as of 06:04 UTC Tuesday, down 47.5 points in 24 hours as Iran's June 7 missile exchange was absorbed without triggering a qualifying broad closure.
Filed June 9, 2026
Politics Iran Barrage Fails to Restrict Israeli Skies; Closure Odds Crater to 11.5%
Israel's airspace-closure contract stands at 11.5% Tuesday morning, down 41 points in 24 hours as Iran's June 7 barrage failed to force Israeli aviation restrictions.
Filed June 9, 2026
Politics Ceasefire Hold Absorbs Iran Barrage; Airspace-Closure Odds Settle at 16.5%
Israel's airspace-closure contract holds at 16.5% Monday evening, 16 points below the 24h open, as Iran's halt to strikes absorbs the barrage premium with six days left to June 15.