Lebanon Tripwire Lifts Israel Airspace Closure Odds to 16.5%
Israel's airspace-closure contract hits 16.5% on Wednesday, up 6.5 points in 24 hours, as Iran's Lebanon condition keeps June 15 escalation risk alive.
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Israel's airspace-closure contract reached 16.5% as of 14:07 UTC Wednesday, up 6.5 points over the prior 24 hours, as the Lebanon-trigger clause Iran attached to its June 7 ceasefire suspension keeps residual escalation risk elevated. The contract cleared 12.5% this morning before an afternoon YES bid pushed it back above 16%, with five days remaining before the June 15 resolution deadline.
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