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23 results for “airspace”
The 'Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?' contract reached 73.95% at 19:42 UTC Wednesday — up 63.9pp in 24 hours — after Israeli strikes forced Iran's Civil Aviation Organisation to issue an immediate, indefinite suspension of all flight operations at Imam Khomeini International Airport.
Filed June 17, 2026
Iran's airspace-closure contract has crashed from its 80.4% session peak to 4.45% as of 21:40 UTC Sunday, with six hours to deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract stands at 4.5% as of 07:03 UTC Friday, down 12pp from its 16.5% Thursday open, after Trump announced a 60-day ceasefire extension.
Filed June 12, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract reached 20% as of 16:17 UTC Wednesday — up from a 12.5% morning trough — as Iran's unresolved Lebanon-clause threat anchors residual escalation risk through June 15.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract hits 16.5% on Wednesday, up 6.5 points in 24 hours, as Iran's Lebanon condition keeps June 15 escalation risk alive.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure market holds at 12.5% as of 10:10 UTC Wednesday, 11 points below Tuesday's session peak following an oscillatory overnight.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract has settled at 12.5% as of 08:07 UTC Wednesday — up 2pp from the June 9 session open — after a volatile nine-hour oscillation twice retested 21.5% before NO sellers regained control.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's June 15 airspace-closure contract trades at 13.5% as of 06:07 UTC Wednesday, well off a June 9 session peak of 23.5%.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract drifted to 10.5% on Tuesday morning — down 42 points in 24 hours — as the Trump-brokered mutual halt absorbed the Iran barrage and held.
Filed June 9, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract fell to 11% as of 06:04 UTC Tuesday, down 47.5 points in 24 hours as Iran's June 7 missile exchange was absorbed without triggering a qualifying broad closure.
Filed June 9, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract stands at 11.5% Tuesday morning, down 41 points in 24 hours as Iran's June 7 barrage failed to force Israeli aviation restrictions.
Filed June 9, 2026
The Israel-closes-airspace contract stands at 11.5% as of 02:56 UTC Tuesday, down from 0.685 at the session's start, as both sides maintain their strike suspension.
Filed June 9, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract holds at 16.5% Monday evening, 16 points below the 24h open, as Iran's halt to strikes absorbs the barrage premium with six days left to June 15.
Filed June 9, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract stands at 12.5% as of 16:43 UTC Monday, 56 points below the session high of 68.5% reached at 04:07 UTC, after Iran declared a halt to its missile offensive.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's June-15 airspace-closure contract stands at 49% as of 10:09 UTC Monday, up 42.5pp overnight, after Iran's missile barrage shatters the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
The Israel airspace closure contract climbed to 54.5% Monday as Iran's 'Operation Nasr' barrages and Israeli counterstrikes on central Iran fracture the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure odds stand at 45% as of 03:57 UTC Monday — up 38.5pp in 24 hours after Iran's first missile barrage since the April ceasefire.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract hit 52% at 01:33 UTC Monday, up from 18.5¢ at 00:45 UTC, as Iran threatens further strikes if Israeli attacks on Lebanon continue.
Filed June 8, 2026
Israel's June-15 airspace-closure contract sat at 31.5¢ as of 20:11 UTC Sunday — off a 71¢ session peak — as Iran's retaliatory barrage activated Israeli defenses without triggering a qualifying closure; the Iran June-8 contract held elevated at 55.3¢.
Filed June 7, 2026
Iran's June 8 airspace-closure contract jumped 57.8 points to 61.25% as of 19:40 UTC Sunday after Israel struck Hezbollah targets in Beirut and the IRGC vowed retaliation.
Filed June 7, 2026
Polymarket's Iran May 31 airspace-closure market is pricing 24.15% as of May 26 morning, down ~16pp from PPC's 40.5% snapshot three days back.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket puts a May 31 Iranian airspace closure at 40.5% as of 15:26 UTC May 23, up 19 points in 24 hours after a wild overnight session.
Filed May 23, 2026
The May 24 Yes spiked from 7.5% to a 99.25% peak before falling to 40.7% at 10:41 UTC May 23 on $4.51M of 24-hour volume.
Filed May 23, 2026