Lebanon Tripwire Keeps Israel Airspace Closure Priced at 20%
The Israel airspace-closure contract reached 20% as of 16:17 UTC Wednesday — up from a 12.5% morning trough — as Iran's unresolved Lebanon-clause threat anchors residual escalation risk through June 15.
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The Israel airspace-closure contract is at 20% as of 16:17 UTC Wednesday — above the 16.5% level covered two hours ago — after a volatile 24-hour arc that opened at 10.5% at 16:18 UTC Tuesday, spiked to 24% at 21:53 UTC, rebounded to a secondary 22.5% at 00:41 UTC, then faded to a 12.5% floor that held from 07:55 through 10:43 UTC this morning before afternoon YES buying pulled it back. The June 15, 11:59 PM ET resolution deadline is approaching.
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