Israel-Iran June 30 Peace Retreats to 14.15% as Lebanon Standoff Anchors Sell Pressure
The Israel x Iran June 30 peace market is at 14.15% Wednesday afternoon, down 1.75pp on the session, as Lebanon withdrawal deadlock blocks any bilateral deal.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
The Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 market is pricing at 14.15% as of 16:39 UTC Wednesday — down 1.75 percentage points from yesterday's opening level of 0.159. As Orakll reported this morning, Lebanon standoff dynamics have suppressed the contract throughout the session. The 24-hour range ran from a session high of 0.177 to a session floor of 0.106 before the price recovered and then sold off again into the afternoon.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
Read next
Politics Iran FM Contradiction Pulls June-30 Deal From 67.5% Peak to 55.5%
The June-30 US–Iran peace deal hit 55.5% Saturday after Trump's Sunday-signing promise drove a 67.5% session peak before Iran's FM denied the timeline.
Filed June 13, 2026
Politics Trump 'This Weekend' Pledge Sends June-15 Iran Deal to 28.25%, Then 16.25%
The June-15 US–Iran permanent peace-deal contract hit 28.25% Saturday before crashing to 16.25% at 13:18 UTC on Trump's 'this weekend' signing signal.
Filed June 13, 2026
Politics Lebanon Tripwire Keeps Israel Airspace Closure Priced at 20%
The Israel airspace-closure contract reached 20% as of 16:17 UTC Wednesday — up from a 12.5% morning trough — as Iran's unresolved Lebanon-clause threat anchors residual escalation risk through June 15.