Taiwan Invasion Contract Holds at 6.6% on Rising PLA Coast Guard Pressure
The China-Taiwan invasion market sits at 6.6% as of 17:16 UTC on June 6, up 0.45pp on a late-May Pratas Island coast guard standoff and steady PLA aerial pressure.
The Polymarket contract asking whether China will invade Taiwan by December 31, 2026 sits at 6.6% as of 17:16 UTC on Saturday, June 6 — up 0.45pp from a session open of 0.0615 — on $1.27 million in 24-hour volume.
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