Dip Buyers Lift US-Iran August Deal to 23.5% Off Session Low
The US-Iran final-deal market clawed back to 23.5% Wednesday on YES dip buying off a 22.5% session low, as the enrichment stalemate persists.

YES probability · 24h change
- 24h vol
- $39k
- Liquidity
- $259k
- Contract
The US-Iran August 31 final-deal market — which hit 22.5% at its session floor at 11:31 UTC Wednesday — has clawed back to 23.5% as of 19:50 UTC, up 1pp off the low. The contract opened at 0.275 and has shed 4pp on the day, as traders continue to price not the June 14 memorandum of understanding — already signed — but a fully binding, measurable nuclear obligation with a concrete enrichment cap, a bar that remains far from cleared.
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