Venezuela Doublet Holds Exactly-10 Earthquake Bracket at 76%
Venezuela's M7.2-M7.5 doublet fires the exactly-10 M7+ bracket 71.1pp to 76% as of 13:54 UTC Thursday, with five days to June 30 resolution.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
The exactly-10 M7+ earthquakes by June 30 Polymarket bracket holds at 76% as of 13:54 UTC Thursday — up 71.1 percentage points from Wednesday's 4.95% session open — after Venezuela's near-simultaneous M7.2 and M7.5 doublet struck 39 seconds apart, adding two events to the global M7+ tally in a single seismic burst.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Science & Tech Philippines M6.5 Fills Fourth Slot; Exactly-4 Bracket Reaches 63.25%
The Polymarket exactly-4 M6.5+ earthquake bracket climbed to 63.25% at 00:24 UTC Saturday, up 32.1 percentage points in 24 hours, as a Philippines quake appeared to claim the resolution window's fourth qualifying slot.
Filed June 27, 2026
Science & Tech Venezuela Doublet Fires 11+ Quake Bracket to 42%
The 11+ M5.5+ earthquake bracket for June 22–28 sits at 42% as of 02:16 UTC Thursday, up 27.5 points after Venezuela's M7.5/M7.2 doublet confirmed four seismic events.
Filed June 25, 2026
Science & Tech Exact-9 Earthquake Bracket Climbs to 35% as Six-Day Window Closes In
The exactly-nine M7.0+ earthquake market priced at 35% at 20:42 UTC Wednesday—up 7 points on the day—with six confirmed 2026 major quakes and six days to resolution.
Filed June 24, 2026
Science & Tech Avi Loeb UAP Council Can't Budge Alien-Confirmation Odds From 9.5%
Despite a government-backed UAP science advisory council and three file drops since May, the US alien-confirmation market held at 9.5% as of 16:34 UTC Wednesday.
4¢implied——Filed June 24, 2026
Science & Tech Concentrated Buying Powers June GISTEMP 1.15–1.19°C Bracket to 85.5%
Polymarket's NASA GISTEMP June 2026 temperature bracket stands at 85.5% as of 22:34 UTC Monday, up 31 percentage points from 54.5%, on concentrated YES tape with no confirmed mid-month data behind it.
Filed June 23, 2026
Science & Tech Three Quakes Fire Earthquake Market to 83.5% Peak, YES Now at 63.5%
Three major quakes in the first hours of the June 15–21 window spiked YES to an 83.5% peak; it sits at 63.5% Wednesday.
Filed June 17, 2026