Mine Math Holds Hormuz YES at 8.5% Through Early Saturday
Polymarket's Strait of Hormuz traffic-normalization contract priced YES at 8.5% as of 02:31 UTC Saturday — down 6 points in 24 hours — as a two-month mine-clearance timeline dwarfs the June 30 deadline.
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The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery contract priced YES at 8.5% as of 02:31 UTC Saturday, down 6 points from a 14.5% open 24 hours ago, as earlier Orakll coverage traced the mine-clearance overhang anchoring the contract below 10%. The US-Iran ceasefire that reopened the Strait last week leaves the physical and financial barriers in the passage entirely intact.
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