Hormuz YES Hits 10.5% Session High; Mine-Clearance Math Unchanged
The Strait of Hormuz June traffic recovery contract reached 10.5% at 12:35 UTC Saturday—its 24-hour session high—but six-month mine timelines still make normalization a 1-in-9.5 shot.
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The Polymarket contract on Strait of Hormuz shipping returning to normal by June 30 reached 10.5% at 12:35 UTC Saturday—its session high and a tick above the 9.5% it held through the morning—after a 24-hour floor of 7.5%. The move reflects thin tactical positioning, not any structural revision: the physical barriers blocking June 30 normalization are unchanged.
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