Eight Days, Two Months: Hormuz June YES at 5.5%
Strait of Hormuz June YES at 5.5% Monday — down 2pp — as mine-clearance timelines swamp the eight-day window to resolution.
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The Strait of Hormuz June normalization contract is at 5.5% as of 04:38 UTC on Monday (June 22), down 2pp from the session-opening 7.5%, as the structural mismatch between an eight-day deadline and a two-month mine-clearance minimum continues to drain any YES bid. With $604,539 in 24-hour volume and $31.1 million in cumulative turnover since April, the contract resolves YES only if IMF Portwatch's 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transit calls reaches 60 — a bar that seven ships in transit since the ceasefire shows no sign of clearing.
¶Why now
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