Hormuz June Contract Slides to 17.5% as Mine-Clearance Math Holds
Hormuz June-end contract at 17.5% at 09:15 UTC Tuesday, down 12 points in 24 hours, as 40-to-50-day mine-clearance timelines foreclose June resolution.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
The Strait of Hormuz June-end traffic contract has fallen to 17.5% as of 09:15 UTC Tuesday, down 12 points from its 0.295 session open Monday, as maritime security experts warn mine-clearing operations could take 40 to 50 days — far beyond the June 30 resolution deadline. The 24-hour volume of $1.0 million reflects sustained two-way interest as traders price in the supply-chain barrier the US-Iran peace accord cannot clear.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
Read next
Politics Eight Days, Two Months: Hormuz June YES at 5.5%
Strait of Hormuz June YES at 5.5% Monday — down 2pp — as mine-clearance timelines swamp the eight-day window to resolution.
Filed June 22, 2026
Politics Hormuz June YES Slides to 13.5% as Mine-Clearance Math Holds
The Hormuz June-normalization YES is at 13.5% on Friday, down 9 points in 24 hours, as mine-clearance timelines foreclose any end-of-month recovery.
Filed June 19, 2026
Politics Hormuz Tankers Still Idle; Mine Clearance Math Pins June Contract at 17.5%
The Polymarket contract pricing Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic back to normal by June 30 is at 17.5% as of 15:12 UTC Tuesday, down 9 points on the day, after real-time AIS data confirmed no significant tanker movement since the Iran deal.