Mine-Clearance Gap Drags Hormuz July YES to 46.5%
Hormuz July YES at 46.5% at 15:20 UTC Tuesday, down 5pp, as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance hold recovery below even money.
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The Strait of Hormuz July-recovery contract sat at 46.5% at 15:20 UTC Tuesday, extending a 24-hour slide from the session open of 51.5% as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance costs keep the market well below the Iran peace-accord probability. Despite a signed diplomatic deal, structural supply-chain headwinds are doing the heavy lifting in pushing recovery odds below even money.
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