Every story is a market. Every market has a price.
22 results for “May 31”
The May $72,500 Bitcoin dip contract stands at 23.5% as of 15:12 UTC on May 31, pulled back from a 30.5¢ session high, with BTC $1,088 above the Binance trigger.
Filed 2d ago
Paris's May 31 threshold contract stands at 92.05¢ as of 02:47 UTC, up 83.05 points from a 9.5¢ open as Météo-France guidance puts Sunday's high near 26°C.
Filed 3d ago
The Hormuz blockade-lift market prices at 12.5% as of 17:13 UTC Saturday, down 61pp in 24 hours on $1.24M, with roughly 35 hours left before the May 31 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed 3d ago
May 31 US-Iran peace-deal market hits 9.5% Friday as Trump withholds MOU sign-off and $5.6M cycles through the 24-hour window.
Filed 4d ago
YES at 39.9% as of 03:02 UTC Friday, recovering from an 18.5% low, with the CDC count 48 short of the May 31 threshold.
Filed 5d ago
Seoul's 110-120mm May bracket trades at 44.75% — up 33.1 points in 24 hours — as a late-May KMA rain event reshapes the final-48h forecast with the May 31 deadline two days out.
Filed 5d ago
At 41.5% as of 17:14 UTC, the May 31 ceasefire-extension contract rebounds 29pp off its floor after US-Iran negotiators confirmed a 60-day MOU pending Trump's approval.
Filed 5d ago
The May 31 ceasefire-extension contract fell to 16.5% on May 28, shedding 25 points after Trump ruled out sanctions relief for Iran.
Filed 5d ago
The May 31 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract fell to 7.5% at 11:17 UTC Thursday, down 12 points in 24 hours on $7.60M of volume.
Filed 5d ago
Polymarket's May 31 US-Iran permanent-peace deal contract printed 13.5% at 00:07 UTC Thursday, down 10pp in 24h on $6.64M of volume.
Filed 6d ago
Polymarket prices the May 31 internet-restoration question at 59.4% at 03:49 UTC May 27, down 14pp from PPC's 74.6% snapshot three hours earlier.
Filed 6d ago
Polymarket's May 31 Iran-internet contract printed 0.746 at 00:42 UTC after NetBlocks confirmed a partial reopening of the 88-day blackout.
Filed May 27, 2026
Polymarket's Iran May 31 airspace-closure market is pricing 24.15% as of May 26 morning, down ~16pp from PPC's 40.5% snapshot three days back.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket's May 31 Iran ceasefire-extension contract trades at 39.5% as of 08:27 UTC Tuesday, down 12.5pp from yesterday's 52% framework-post close.
Filed May 26, 2026
Polymarket's May 31 US–Iran ceasefire-extension contract jumped +14.5pp in 24 hours to 52% by 20:58 UTC May 25 on $509k of volume.
Filed May 26, 2026
Seven US-Iran contracts moved opposite directions on May 25, 2026 — the ceasefire was bid to 91.5% while the May 31 treaty market wrote itself off at 30.5%, a 61-point gap.
Filed May 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Trump's odds of declaring the Hormuz blockade lifted by May 31 at 27.5% as of May 25, down 37.5 points overnight.
Filed May 25, 2026
Polymarket's May 31 US-Iran ceasefire-extension market sits at 33.5% as of 05:58 UTC May 25, after a one-day collapse of 41.5 points.
Filed May 25, 2026
Polymarket put a permanent US-Iran deal by May 31 at 23.5% Sunday afternoon, down 40 points in 24 hours on $5.24M of volume.
Filed May 25, 2026
The May 31 peace-deal market closed Saturday at 63.5% as of 21:37 UTC May 23, up from 17.5% twenty-four hours earlier on $5.98M of volume — the day Trump said a framework was 'largely negotiated.'
Filed May 24, 2026
Polymarket puts a May 31 Iranian airspace closure at 40.5% as of 15:26 UTC May 23, up 19 points in 24 hours after a wild overnight session.
Filed May 23, 2026
The contract paying out if Strait of Hormuz shipping normalizes by May 31 last traded at 5.45%, down 3.65 points over 24 hours.
Filed May 22, 2026