May 31 Iran deal contract sinks to 7.5% with three days left
The May 31 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract fell to 7.5% at 11:17 UTC Thursday, down 12 points in 24 hours on $7.60M of volume.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
As of 11:17 UTC on May 28, the May 31 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract has slid to 7.5% — 12 percentage points below its 19.5% open 24 hours ago on $7.60M of volume, and a further 6pp through the 13.5% level Orakll reported hours earlier. The session reached a high of 27.0% and a low of 6.5% over the 24-hour window.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics May 31 US-Iran peace contract crashes to 13.5%, three days left
Polymarket's May 31 US-Iran permanent-peace deal contract printed 13.5% at 00:07 UTC Thursday, down 10pp in 24h on $6.64M of volume.
Filed May 28, 2026
Politics Across seven Iran contracts, Polymarket prices a slipped deadline, not a broken deal
Seven US-Iran contracts moved opposite directions on May 25, 2026 — the ceasefire was bid to 91.5% while the May 31 treaty market wrote itself off at 30.5%, a 61-point gap.
Filed May 25, 2026
Politics Iran May 31 peace-deal contract collapses 40 points to 23.5%
Polymarket put a permanent US-Iran deal by May 31 at 23.5% Sunday afternoon, down 40 points in 24 hours on $5.24M of volume.