Iran May 31 peace-deal contract collapses 40 points to 23.5%
Polymarket put a permanent US-Iran deal by May 31 at 23.5% Sunday afternoon, down 40 points in 24 hours on $5.24M of volume.

YES probability · 24h change
- 24h vol
- $4.0M
- Liquidity
- $433k
- Contract
- us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-may-31-2026-333-871-241-192-799-449-125
The Polymarket contract on a permanent US-Iran peace deal by May 31, 2026 traded at 23.5% as of 21:39 UTC Sunday, down 40 points in 24 hours on $5.24 million of volume — fully unwinding a treaty thesis that had pushed the line to a 73.5% intraday high overnight. The market printed a 22.5% session low.
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