Measles 2,000-Case Contract at 40% as CDC Count Holds 48 Short
YES at 39.9% as of 03:02 UTC Friday, recovering from an 18.5% low, with the CDC count 48 short of the May 31 threshold.
The measles 2,000-case contract printed 39.9% as of 03:02 UTC Friday, down about 6 points in 24 hours but recovering from a session low of 18.5%, with the CDC's most recent published count at 1,952 confirmed U.S. cases in 2026 — 48 short of the resolution threshold — and the May 31, 11:59 PM ET deadline three days out.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Science & Tech Measles YES at 46.5% Despite CDC Running at 6.1 Cases a Day
The U.S. measles-threshold contract trades at 46.5% as of 11:03 UTC Monday, down 14.5 points from Sunday, with 77 confirmed cases still needed before the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
Science & Tech CDC's 2,073-Case Update Drives Measles-2150 Contract to 71.5%
The measles-2150 contract trades at 71.5% as of 01:46 UTC Saturday, up 28.5pp on the day, after CDC confirmed 2,073 U.S. cases — just 77 short of the resolution threshold.
Filed June 13, 2026
Science & Tech WHO's Unchanged Low-Risk Read Walks Hantavirus Contract to 5.85%
The Hantavirus pandemic market eased to 5.85% by 02:15 UTC Sunday, off a 6.05% session open, as WHO's 'low' risk rating holds firm.
