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30 results for “fed”
Bitcoin's $57,500 June dip market on Polymarket sits at 39.45% as of 17:57 UTC Friday, down 16.4pp after a 77.5% session peak on Fed-week liquidation fears.
Filed June 26, 2026
Ethereum's $1,600-at-noon YES market has fallen to 13.8% as of 06:33 UTC Friday, down 66.85pp in 24 hours as Fed-driven liquidations continue.
Filed June 26, 2026
The Fed no-change market hit 80.5% as of 04:45 UTC Friday — a 5pp gain in 24 hours — as May's softer monthly inflation print sidelines July hike bets.
Filed June 26, 2026
Bitcoin's $60k same-day YES has fallen 23.5 percentage points to 49% as of 22:10 UTC Thursday amid a $397 million liquidation cascade tied to hawkish Federal Reserve signals.
Filed June 26, 2026
The Bitcoin dip-to-$57,500 YES contract sits at 31.55% as of 04:18 UTC Thursday — up 16.7pp net on the session after a Fed-driven spike to 68.45% and a volatile overnight retreat.
Filed June 25, 2026
Bitcoin's June 24 $62k contract sits at 83.95% as of 10:19 UTC Wednesday, 29.8 points above the session floor with noon-ET settlement hours out.
Filed June 24, 2026
Ethereum's June-24 UP prices at 65.5% at 08:22 UTC Wednesday, up 16pp overnight as taker-buys absorbed Tuesday's Federal Reserve selloff.
Filed June 24, 2026
Bitcoin's same-day UP contract priced at 66.5% as of 06:07 UTC Wednesday, up 17 points overnight as post-FOMC liquidation flows reverse ahead of noon-ET resolution.
Filed June 24, 2026
Bitcoin's June-24 $64,000 YES contract sits at 9.5% at 05:20 UTC Wednesday, bouncing from 7.5% as Fed-driven NO conviction keeps the ask wall firm.
Filed June 24, 2026
Ethereum's June-24 $1,700 YES contract priced at 14.5% at 05:12 UTC Wednesday, down 52.5pp from its June 23 open, with noon-ET Binance settlement roughly 11 hours away.
Filed June 24, 2026
The June 24 Bitcoin $64,000 YES contract is at 11.5% as of 02:10 UTC Wednesday, down 42 percentage points from its 53.5% session open.
Filed June 24, 2026
Bitcoin's $60k-dip contract priced YES at 42% as of 15:08 UTC Tuesday, up 27pp in 24 hours, as a post-FOMC liquidation cascade pushes BTC through $64,000 support.
Filed June 23, 2026
The 2026 Fed rate-hike contract sits at 57.5% as of 09:47 UTC on Tuesday, June 23, down 3pp from its 60.5% session high, as the FOMC's near-even internal split blocks a decisive repricing.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Polymarket July Fed rate-hike market holds at 24.55% as of 15:13 UTC Monday, up 4pp, with Chair Warsh's blank dot capping conviction.
Filed June 22, 2026
As of 13:25 UTC Saturday, Neymar's World Cup YES contract trades at 92.5%—up 11.5pp from its June 16 injury floor—after the Brazilian Football Confederation confirmed he returned to on-field training at the tournament on June 17.
Filed June 20, 2026
Traders pushed Bitcoin's $62,000–$64,000 June 20 bracket to 92% at 22:54 UTC Friday, a 47.5-point surge as post-Fed selling pinned spot firmly in the range.
Filed June 20, 2026
The Polymarket July Fed rate-hike contract is at 26.05% as of 10:38 UTC Friday — up 10.3 percentage points in 24 hours after nine FOMC members signaled a 2026 rate increase in Chair Warsh's debut dot plot.
Filed June 19, 2026
The July 2026 Fed 25bps-hike contract priced at 26.95% at 07:17 UTC Friday, up 7.4pp after Kevin Warsh's hawkish first FOMC meeting removed the easing bias.
Filed June 19, 2026
The July Fed hold trades at 71.5% Friday, 8pp below Thursday's opening, as the FOMC's nine hawkish dots signal a possible 2026 rate hike.
Filed June 19, 2026
The Polymarket contract pricing a July Fed hold sits at 71.5% as of 05:33 UTC Friday, down 8pp in 24 hours after nine FOMC officials signaled continued rate hikes.
Filed June 19, 2026
The Fed rate-hike YES contract reached 57% as of 19:53 UTC Wednesday, up 28.5pp from the session's 0.285 floor, after Warsh's debut dot plot showed 9 of 18 officials backing at least one 2026 hike.
Filed June 17, 2026
The December 2026 Fed rate-hike contract climbed 4 points overnight to 35.5% on Tuesday as Warsh's first FOMC meeting opens against elevated inflation expectations.
Filed June 16, 2026
Bitcoin's June 16 DOWN contract stands at 94.5% as of 02:30 UTC Tuesday — the 'Up' token at its session floor of 5.5% — as BTC spot retreats from Monday's Iran-deal peak ahead of Tuesday's noon-ET settlement.
Filed June 16, 2026
At 80.45% as of 17:33 UTC Sunday, the zero-cuts contract has retreated 1.2 points from its 81.65% session high as profit-taking bites.
Filed June 7, 2026
The no-rate-cuts contract sits at 81.45% as of 14:48 UTC Sunday, having weathered the session's 1,717-share profit-taking exit and four named counter-position buyers since Friday's jobs blowout.
Filed June 7, 2026
The no-cuts contract holds at 80.95% as of 05:09 UTC Sunday after May's 172,000-job blowout doubled expectations and cemented the case against 2026 Fed easing.
Filed June 7, 2026
The zero-cuts-in-2026 contract holds at 80.95% as of 04:25 UTC Sunday, up 3.9pp from the session open after May's 172,000-job payrolls blowout.
Filed June 7, 2026
The Polymarket zero-cuts contract priced at 80.95% as of 01:26 UTC Sunday — anchored at that level since 17:44 UTC Saturday as 2,496 named counter-bet shares land without moving the price.
Filed June 7, 2026
The zero-cuts contract holds at 80.95% as of 23:28 UTC Saturday, off a 83.05% session peak driven by May's 172,000-job blowout.
Filed June 7, 2026
The zero-cuts contract holds at 80.95% at 21:05 UTC Saturday, up 9.3 pp, after May payrolls more than doubled analyst forecasts.
Filed June 7, 2026