Fed Rate-Hike Contract at 35.5% as Warsh's FOMC Debut Opens
The December 2026 Fed rate-hike contract climbed 4 points overnight to 35.5% on Tuesday as Warsh's first FOMC meeting opens against elevated inflation expectations.
The Polymarket contract asking whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates at any point in 2026 stands at 35.5% as of 16:20 UTC on Tuesday, June 16 — up 4 points from 31.5% at the session open, a gain held for nearly 18 hours as Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting gets underway. Volume over the past 24 hours reached $83,984 against the December 9 resolution deadline.
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