Warsh's Blank Dot Holds July Hike Odds at 24.55% After Morning Run
The Polymarket July Fed rate-hike market holds at 24.55% as of 15:13 UTC Monday, up 4pp, with Chair Warsh's blank dot capping conviction.
Following Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut on June 17, the Polymarket contract on a July 2026 Fed rate hike holds at 24.55% as of 15:13 UTC Monday — up 4.0 percentage points on the day — with traders pricing nine inflation-fighter dots against the Fed chair's conspicuous refusal to project. The market carries $5.4 million in total volume, with $301,383 changing hands in the past 24 hours.
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