Nine FOMC Dots Back 2026 Hike; Fed Rate-Hike YES Surges to 57%
The Fed rate-hike YES contract reached 57% as of 19:53 UTC Wednesday, up 28.5pp from the session's 0.285 floor, after Warsh's debut dot plot showed 9 of 18 officials backing at least one 2026 hike.
The Fed rate-hike 2026 YES contract, at 35.5% heading into Warsh's debut, surged to 57% as of 19:53 UTC Wednesday — a 28.5-point recovery from the session's 0.285 floor — after the FOMC held rates steady but published a hawkish dot plot showing 9 of 18 officials backing at least one 2026 hike.
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