Fed July Hold Slides 8pp as Hawkish Dot Plot Bites
The Polymarket contract pricing a July Fed hold sits at 71.5% as of 05:33 UTC Friday, down 8pp in 24 hours after nine FOMC officials signaled continued rate hikes.
The Polymarket contract asking whether the Fed holds rates steady at its July 28–29 meeting sits at 71.5% as of 05:33 UTC Friday, down 8pp over the past 24 hours. When nine FOMC members backed a 2026 hike at Wednesday's June meeting, the July no-change contract began absorbing the signal — and the tape shows selling continued through Thursday into early Friday.
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