Fed July Hold Slides 8pp as Hawkish Dot Plot Bites
The Polymarket contract pricing a July Fed hold sits at 71.5% as of 05:33 UTC Friday, down 8pp in 24 hours after nine FOMC officials signaled continued rate hikes.
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The Polymarket contract asking whether the Fed holds rates steady at its July 28–29 meeting sits at 71.5% as of 05:33 UTC Friday, down 8pp over the past 24 hours. When nine FOMC members backed a 2026 hike at Wednesday's June meeting, the July no-change contract began absorbing the signal — and the tape shows selling continued through Thursday into early Friday.
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