Dot-Plot Deadlock Holds 2026 Fed Hike Market at 57.5%
The 2026 Fed rate-hike contract sits at 57.5% as of 09:47 UTC on Tuesday, June 23, down 3pp from its 60.5% session high, as the FOMC's near-even internal split blocks a decisive repricing.
The 2026 Fed rate-hike contract prices YES at 57.5% as of 09:47 UTC on Tuesday, June 23 — down 3pp from Monday's session high of 60.5% — after the June 17 Federal Reserve decision held rates steady while producing a dot plot so evenly divided that traders cannot yet price a clear outcome for the year. Daily volume of $88,860 reflects probing on both sides of the line.
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