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30 results for “June 30”
Alphabet's June 30 market-cap contract stands at 73% as of 01:30 UTC Friday, up 42 percentage points, after Apple's hardware price hikes erased roughly $275 billion in AAPL market value.
Filed June 26, 2026
Alphabet's odds of holding the No. 2 market-cap slot through June 30 reached 63.5% as of 19:59 UTC Thursday, up 36 percentage points on Apple's 4.79% selloff.
Filed June 25, 2026
The 475,000-or-more Q2 bracket repriced 12.85pp to 48.6% YES as of 17:43 UTC Thursday — a near-coin-flip five days before quarter close on June 30.
Filed June 25, 2026
Venezuela's M7.2-M7.5 doublet fires the exactly-10 M7+ bracket 71.1pp to 76% as of 13:54 UTC Thursday, with five days to June 30 resolution.
Filed June 25, 2026
The Hormuz June-recovery contract sits at 6.5% as of 21:27 UTC Monday — 1pp above Sunday's close — as a two-month mine-clearance timeline erases any prospect of the 60-vessel transit threshold by June 30.
Filed June 23, 2026
Alphabet's odds of being second-largest by market cap on June 30 are 30% Monday, down 50pp intraday after a California platform-addiction ruling dented GOOGL stock.
Filed June 23, 2026
Starmer ouster contract holds at 83.5% as of 06:36 UTC Sunday, up 18.5pp on the day, as Chequers exit reports drive sustained YES buying.
Filed June 21, 2026
At 7.5% as of 2026-06-21T05:22 UTC, the Hormuz June 30 normalization contract prices near-certain failure — a six-month mine-clearance clock is overriding a signed US-Iran memorandum of understanding with nine days to the deadline.
Filed June 21, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract fell to 6.5% as of 00:21 UTC Sunday, surrendering Saturday's 10.5% session high as an eight-week mine-clearance timeline renders the June 30 deadline structurally unreachable.
Filed June 21, 2026
Iran's 'end all enrichment by June 30' contract is at 4.5% as of 17:39 UTC Saturday, down 38pp in 24 hours, as the signed US-Iran memorandum of understanding commits only to downblending — not the formal zero-enrichment pledge the contract requires.
Filed June 20, 2026
Polymarket's Strait of Hormuz traffic-normalization contract priced YES at 8.5% as of 02:31 UTC Saturday — down 6 points in 24 hours — as a two-month mine-clearance timeline dwarfs the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 20, 2026
The June 30 US–Iran meeting contract hit 76.1% at 23:00 UTC Friday — up 18pp in 30 minutes — after Washington called today's Burgenstock cancellation a delay.
Filed June 20, 2026
The 'Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?' contract reached 73.95% at 19:42 UTC Wednesday — up 63.9pp in 24 hours — after Israeli strikes forced Iran's Civil Aviation Organisation to issue an immediate, indefinite suspension of all flight operations at Imam Khomeini International Airport.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Israel x Iran June 30 peace market is at 14.15% Wednesday afternoon, down 1.75pp on the session, as Lebanon withdrawal deadlock blocks any bilateral deal.
Filed June 17, 2026
Israel-Iran peace-deal contract fell to 11.4% at 09:24 UTC Wednesday, down 3.25 points in 24 hours as Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon block the bilateral track.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Polymarket contract pricing Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic back to normal by June 30 is at 17.5% as of 15:12 UTC Tuesday, down 9 points on the day, after real-time AIS data confirmed no significant tanker movement since the Iran deal.
Filed June 16, 2026
Hormuz's end-of-June contract is at 17.5% at 08:25 UTC Tuesday, down 13 pp from Monday's open, as mine-clearance timelines block any June 30 YES.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Hormuz June contract hit 18.5% at 05:22 UTC Tuesday, down 11 points from Monday's 0.295 open, as a 40-to-50-day mine-clearance timeline makes the June 30 deadline unreachable.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran June 30 peace market sits at 11.85% as of 05:00 UTC Tuesday, 86.8 percentage points below the US-Iran accord at 98.65%, as Trump's deal explicitly excludes bilateral normalization with Tel Aviv.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 sits at 10.05% as of 00:34 UTC Tuesday — down 14.25pp in 24 hours — as Trump's completion of the bilateral US-Iran accord confirmed Israel was never at the negotiating table.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery contract trades at 22.5% at 17:27 UTC Monday as 40-50 day mine-clearance timelines block any June 30 resolution.
Filed June 15, 2026
The U.S. measles-threshold contract trades at 46.5% as of 11:03 UTC Monday, down 14.5 points from Sunday, with 77 confirmed cases still needed before the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
At 93.5% as of 09:19 UTC Monday, the June-30 US–Iran deal contract has surged 43 points in 24 hours on Trump's deal-complete declaration.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 92.5% as of 02:53 UTC Monday, up 45 points in 24 hours, as a confirmed June 19 Switzerland signing ceremony makes the June 30 resolution window near-mechanical.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract holds at 26.5% as of 02:00 UTC Monday, up 6pp on Iran deal news but anchored by mine-clearance timelines that stretch well past June 30.
Filed June 15, 2026
Iran's 440kg uranium stockpile and Khamenei's public silence hold the June 30 US-Iran peace deal at 50% as of 08:23 UTC Sunday.
Filed June 14, 2026
The Polymarket contract on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by June 30 holds at 22.5% as of 04:56 UTC Sunday, anchored by war-risk insurance running 4,000 times pre-conflict levels and a six-month mine-clearance estimate.
Filed June 14, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract sat at 19.5% as of 14:00 UTC Saturday, pulling back from a 23% session high as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance premiums cap any ceasefire-driven upside with 17 days until June 30.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace deal crossed 50% to 50.5% at 12:16 UTC Saturday after deal text was confirmed agreed by both sides.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 30 US×Iran peace-deal contract trades at 40.5% as of 10:49 UTC Saturday, up 2pp on the day, as Pakistan's 'final text' claim fires three surges to the session high — each rejected.
Filed June 13, 2026