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30 results for “insurance”
Hormuz July YES at 46.5% at 15:20 UTC Tuesday, down 5pp, as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance hold recovery below even money.
Filed June 23, 2026
The July 31 Strait of Hormuz normalization contract priced at 50.5% at 15:02 UTC Monday after a +10pp session surge, sitting near even money while mine clearance timelines and elevated insurance costs do the work politics cannot.
Filed June 22, 2026
The Hormuz June normalization contract holds at 6.5% as of 13:49 UTC Sunday, with a two-month mine-clearance timeline and war-risk premiums well above the pre-war baseline sealing NO.
Filed June 21, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery contract stands at 8.5% at 23:19 UTC Friday, down 6pp from a 14.5% open, as six-month mine-clearance timelines override the Iran peace accord.
Filed June 20, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract holds at 18.5% on Wednesday, net 2pp above Tuesday's opening low, as a 40-to-50-day mine-clearance timeline and 10-to-40x war-risk insurance surge outpace the 13 days left to resolution.
Filed June 17, 2026
Hormuz's June recovery contract trades at 17.5% as of 03:57 UTC Wednesday, pinned by mine-clearance and insurance barriers that outlast the Iran deal bounce.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Hormuz end-of-June recovery contract sits at 16.5% Tuesday — down 11pp in 24 hours as mine-clearance math overrides the Iran peace accord.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Hormuz June YES contract sat at 18.5% at 09:47 UTC Tuesday, down 11 percentage points in 24 hours as mine-clearance timelines and insurance barriers override Iran's peace accord.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery YES contract is at 17.5% as of 09:06 UTC Tuesday—down 12pp in 24 hours—with mine-clearance timelines of up to six months and 1–4% per-transit insurance premiums locking out a June resolution.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract reached 17.5% at 07:07 UTC Tuesday — 13pp below Monday's 30.5% session peak — as mine clearance and war-risk insurance maintain a structural ceiling on YES.
Filed June 16, 2026
Hormuz June recovery priced at 18.5% at 06:01 UTC Tuesday — off 11.5 points — as mines and insurance hold what the Iran accord cannot resolve.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Hormuz July 31 recovery contract priced at 63.5% as of 23:35 UTC Monday, with mine-clearance and insurance barriers holding back the physical traffic recovery.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract sits at 21.5% as of 19:23 UTC Monday, off a 35.5% session high; mine-clearance timelines and 8% war-risk premiums maintain the structural ceiling.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery contract trades at 22.5% at 17:27 UTC Monday as 40-50 day mine-clearance timelines block any June 30 resolution.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Hormuz recovery contract holds at 29.5% Monday, blocked below 30% by mine-clearance timelines and insurance-premium spikes despite the ceasefire.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz traffic-recovery market stands at 29.5% as of 09:30 UTC Monday, up 7 points over 24 hours but pinned below a contested 30.5% ceiling by demining timelines and elevated insurance costs.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Hormuz-recovery contract holds at 29.5% as of 05:58 UTC Monday — up 7pp in 24 hours, still far below even-money.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery market priced YES at 29.5% at 04:17 UTC Monday after a volatile session swinging from a 0.125 floor to a 0.355 ceiling and back.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract holds at 26.5% as of 02:00 UTC Monday, up 6pp on Iran deal news but anchored by mine-clearance timelines that stretch well past June 30.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Hormuz-recovery contract surged late Sunday before retreating to 25.5% at 22:42 UTC, as insurance costs and mine-clearance timelines continue to cap the YES case.
Filed June 15, 2026
The Polymarket contract on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by June 30 holds at 22.5% as of 04:56 UTC Sunday, anchored by war-risk insurance running 4,000 times pre-conflict levels and a six-month mine-clearance estimate.
Filed June 14, 2026
Hormuz recovery probability sits at 20.5% as of 02:05 UTC Sunday, up 3 points on the day but structurally capped by 12–32× pre-conflict insurance premiums.
Filed June 14, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract trades at 23.5% as of 00:53 UTC Sunday, with mine-clearance timelines and surging war-risk premiums capping the ceasefire's lift.
Filed June 14, 2026
The Hormuz-recovery contract is at 21.5% as of 15:01 UTC Saturday, up 5pp on the day, as insurance and mine-clearance walls hold firm on ceasefire day 7.
Filed June 13, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract sat at 19.5% as of 14:00 UTC Saturday, pulling back from a 23% session high as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance premiums cap any ceasefire-driven upside with 17 days until June 30.
Filed June 13, 2026
The Hormuz June-30 contract is at 19% as of 17:15 UTC Friday — up 11.5pp from open, capped by mine-clearance delays and war-risk premiums.
Filed June 12, 2026
Hormuz recovery holds at 19.5% at 05:07 UTC Friday as 4,000× insurance costs and mine backlog cap the June-30 contract's ceiling.
Filed June 12, 2026
The July 31 Hormuz recovery contract holds at 44.5% as of 03:12 UTC Friday, 25pp above its June 30 sibling at 19.5%.
Filed June 12, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract fell to 6.5% on Thursday, down 2pp this session, as 4,000× pre-crisis war-risk premiums and a six-month mine-clearance backlog continue to outlast the ceasefire.
Filed June 11, 2026
The Hormuz recovery contract sits at 7.5% as of 10:54 UTC Thursday, pinned by 4,000-fold war-risk premiums with 19 days left to the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 11, 2026