Mine Clock and Insurance Wall Hold Hormuz Recovery at 23.5%
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract trades at 23.5% as of 00:53 UTC Sunday, with mine-clearance timelines and surging war-risk premiums capping the ceasefire's lift.
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As of 00:53 UTC Sunday, the Strait of Hormuz recovery contract trades at 23.5% — up 7 percentage points over 24 hours — building on a ceasefire-driven advance reported at 21.5% Saturday afternoon. The contract resolves YES only if IMF Portwatch's seven-day moving average of Strait transit calls reaches 60 or above before June 30, a threshold the market prices at roughly 1-in-4.3.
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