Mine-Clearance Clock and Insurance Wall Anchor Hormuz Recovery at 29.5%
The Hormuz-recovery contract holds at 29.5% as of 05:58 UTC Monday — up 7pp in 24 hours, still far below even-money.
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The Polymarket contract tracking whether Strait of Hormuz shipping returns to normal by June 30 holds at 29.5% as of 05:58 UTC Monday — up 7 percentage points from the 22.5% session open on Sunday, as the confirmed Iran–US peace deal drew fresh YES buyers. With $2.58 million in 24-hour volume and 15 days until expiry, traders are clearly engaged. But structural obstacles have kept the contract anchored well below even-money despite more than a week of ceasefire holding.
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