Hormuz June Recovery Holds at 36% as Shipping Physics Lag Diplomacy
Hormuz June-recovery contract at 36% as of 05:17 UTC May 29, up 1.5pp — still pricing a gap between ceasefire and ships moving.

The Hormuz June-traffic-recovery contract sits at 36% as of 05:17 UTC May 29, up 1.5pp on $484,325 in 24-hour volume — recovering slightly from Orakll's 32.5% snapshot yesterday but still 13.5pp below the May 24 coinflip. US-Iran ceasefire negotiations heading into the May 31 deadline have yet to move ships back through the world's critical oil chokepoint.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Start a 7-day free trial to read on.
Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Four search tools.
Read next
Economics June Hormuz Recovery Falls to 19.5¢ After Touching 15.5¢ Session Floor
The Strait of Hormuz June-end recovery contract trades at 19.5% as of 22:56 UTC Monday, down 10 points on the day, as logistics barriers to shipping normalization persist despite the ceasefire holding.
22¢implied▼−3.0 ptsFiled 14h ago
Politics Hormuz June Recovery Collapses to 32.5% as Shipping Physics Diverge from Diplomacy
The end-of-June Strait traffic-recovery contract sits at 32.5% as of 13:07 UTC May 28 — down 17pp from its May 24 coinflip and 11pp in the last 24 hours alone.