Hormuz June-End Contract Holds at 20% as Logistics Stalemate Deepens
Hormuz June-end contract at 20% Wednesday morning — down 1.5pp as two daily transits persist beneath the 60-crossing resolution bar.
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The June-end Hormuz recovery contract is holding at 20% as of 10:23 UTC Wednesday — down 1.5pp from the 21.5% session open and within 1pp of the 0.19 session floor — with traders pricing roughly 1-in-5 odds that IMF Portwatch's 7-day average of Hormuz transit calls reaches the 60-vessel resolution threshold before June 30, as diplomatic progress continues to outrun physical shipping logistics.
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