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12 results for “war-risk insurance”
Hormuz July YES at 46.5% at 15:20 UTC Tuesday, down 5pp, as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance hold recovery below even money.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Hormuz June normalization contract holds at 6.5% as of 13:49 UTC Sunday, with a two-month mine-clearance timeline and war-risk premiums well above the pre-war baseline sealing NO.
Filed June 21, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract holds at 18.5% on Wednesday, net 2pp above Tuesday's opening low, as a 40-to-50-day mine-clearance timeline and 10-to-40x war-risk insurance surge outpace the 13 days left to resolution.
Filed June 17, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz June-recovery contract reached 17.5% at 07:07 UTC Tuesday — 13pp below Monday's 30.5% session peak — as mine clearance and war-risk insurance maintain a structural ceiling on YES.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Polymarket contract on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by June 30 holds at 22.5% as of 04:56 UTC Sunday, anchored by war-risk insurance running 4,000 times pre-conflict levels and a six-month mine-clearance estimate.
Filed June 14, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract sat at 19.5% as of 14:00 UTC Saturday, pulling back from a 23% session high as mine-clearance timelines and war-risk insurance premiums cap any ceasefire-driven upside with 17 days until June 30.
Filed June 13, 2026
The Hormuz June-30 contract is at 19% as of 17:15 UTC Friday — up 11.5pp from open, capped by mine-clearance delays and war-risk premiums.
Filed June 12, 2026
The Hormuz traffic-recovery contract fell to 6.5% on Thursday, down 2pp this session, as 4,000× pre-crisis war-risk premiums and a six-month mine-clearance backlog continue to outlast the ceasefire.
Filed June 11, 2026
The Hormuz-recovery contract sits at 9.5% on Wednesday as 412 stranded vessels and 4,000-times-normal war-risk insurance outlast three days of ceasefire.
Filed June 10, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract held at 9.5% as of 19:42 UTC on June 9, with intraday bounces to 11.5% and 10.5% both faded as war-risk insurance at 4,000× pre-crisis levels keeps physical recovery out of reach.
Filed June 9, 2026
Hormuz June recovery prices at 16.5% as of 23:18 UTC Thursday — a 4,000× insurance surge and six-month mine-clearance estimate keep odds depressed despite the ceasefire holding.
Filed June 5, 2026
The Hormuz June recovery contract holds at 20.5% as of Wednesday morning, pricing 1-in-5 odds on shipping normalization beating the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 3, 2026