Hormuz Recovery Holds at 9.5% as Two Bounces Fade and 412 Vessels Remain Trapped
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract held at 9.5% as of 19:42 UTC on June 9, with intraday bounces to 11.5% and 10.5% both faded as war-risk insurance at 4,000× pre-crisis levels keeps physical recovery out of reach.
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The Hormuz recovery contract — which resolves YES if the IMF Portwatch 7-day transit-call average hits 60 by June 30 — held at 9.5% as of 19:42 UTC on June 9, its sampled session floor, as the Iran-U.S. ceasefire holds without moving the physical bottlenecks. The contract twice tested higher: rising to a session high of 11.5% at 14:50 UTC before sellers pushed it back, then bouncing a second time to 10.5% at 17:41 UTC before that too was faded.
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