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30 results for “deadline”
The 240–259 tweet bracket reached 47.55% at 06:24 UTC Thursday, recovering from a 21.95% pre-dawn session low after buyers pushed the contract through a 50.30% recovery peak with fewer than 34 hours to the Friday deadline.
Filed June 25, 2026
The US-Iran final nuclear deal market sits at 22.5% as of 12:30 UTC Wednesday, down 6 percentage points in 24 hours on widening enrichment impasses.
Filed June 24, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz July 31 recovery market prices at 48.5% Tuesday morning, as a two-month mine-clearance estimate runs against a 38-day deadline.
Filed June 23, 2026
The Hormuz-by-June-30 recovery contract priced at 6.5% as of 00:26 UTC Tuesday — its 24-hour session high — with mine clearance not yet started, transit volumes far below the ≥60 threshold, and seven days to deadline.
Filed June 23, 2026
At 7.5% as of 2026-06-21T05:22 UTC, the Hormuz June 30 normalization contract prices near-certain failure — a six-month mine-clearance clock is overriding a signed US-Iran memorandum of understanding with nine days to the deadline.
Filed June 21, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz recovery contract fell to 6.5% as of 00:21 UTC Sunday, surrendering Saturday's 10.5% session high as an eight-week mine-clearance timeline renders the June 30 deadline structurally unreachable.
Filed June 21, 2026
Polymarket's Strait of Hormuz traffic-normalization contract priced YES at 8.5% as of 02:31 UTC Saturday — down 6 points in 24 hours — as a two-month mine-clearance timeline dwarfs the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 20, 2026
The Hormuz June contract hit 18.5% at 05:22 UTC Tuesday, down 11 points from Monday's 0.295 open, as a 40-to-50-day mine-clearance timeline makes the June 30 deadline unreachable.
Filed June 16, 2026
Trump's 'deal complete' declaration pushed the June-15 YES contract to 94.95% as of 23:20 UTC Monday — still 5pp from par with fewer than five hours to Polymarket's 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 16, 2026
The Iran-US June-15 peace-deal contract sits at 94.1% as of 22:18 UTC Monday, up 16.2 percentage points in 24 hours, after Iran's SNSC confirmed the MOU and a Geneva signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 16, 2026
The US-Iran June 15 peace-deal contract climbed to 93.9% at 15:04 UTC Monday — up from 11.25% at the session open — with Trump declaring the accord 'complete' and less than 13 hours to the 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The U.S. measles-threshold contract trades at 46.5% as of 11:03 UTC Monday, down 14.5 points from Sunday, with 77 confirmed cases still needed before the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-30 US-Iran permanent peace deal contract sits at 93.5% at 04:39 UTC Monday — up 44pp in 24 hours — as the June-15 deadline passes and a Switzerland signing is set for June 19.
Filed June 15, 2026
Iran's airspace-closure contract has crashed from its 80.4% session peak to 4.45% as of 21:40 UTC Sunday, with six hours to deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
June-30 US-Iran peace contract reached 54.5% at 20:48 UTC Sunday, 31 points above the Monday-deadline variant on heavy block buying.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal trades at 17.85% as of 20:17 UTC Sunday, down 8.55 points from open, with Khamenei approval absent.
Filed June 14, 2026
Iran's FM contradicted Trump's Sunday signing timeline; the June-15 permanent peace deal contract was at 20.9% at 17:11 UTC Sunday, down 16.9pp in 24 hours.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 14 Iran ceasefire-extension contract jumped 15.5pp to 26% as of 16:24 UTC Sunday, reversing a slide toward the session floor with roughly 11.5 hours left to the midnight ET deadline.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 15 US–Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 16.1% as of 16:10 UTC Sunday — down 13.7 percentage points in 24 hours — as Iran's FM publicly rejected Trump's Sunday signing pledge and the deadline approached unsigned.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-13 ceasefire extension contract sits at 17.6% YES at 05:08 UTC Sunday, 69 minutes past its resolution deadline, as late buyers bet Trump's June 11 announcement qualifies under the market's own resolution criteria.
Filed June 14, 2026
The US-Iran June-15 peace deal contract held at 25.55% at 01:44 UTC Sunday — up 9.4pp in 24 hours — as Trump's signing claim collides with Tehran's pushback ahead of Monday's deadline.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 Iran peace-deal contract sits at 26.95% at 21:05 UTC Saturday, up 12.4pp from the 14.55% session open, as Trump's Truth Social signing pledge meets FM Baghaei's flat rejection.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal is at 18.2% as of 22:53 UTC Friday, recovering from a 14.7% evening floor as Pakistan's 'final text' claim holds with the June 15 deadline under 50 hours away.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-15 Iran permanent-peace-deal contract has slipped to 15.25% as of 12:51 UTC Friday, as heavy YES selling checks the morning bid with roughly three days to deadline.
Filed June 12, 2026
The US-Iran June 30 permanent peace deal contract hit 31% Thursday, up 17.5pp on the session, as traders rotated from Monday's failing June 15 deadline to a longer negotiating runway.
Filed June 12, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace deal contract hit 36.5% Thursday — up 20pp on the day — as Trump's 'two or three days' window expires, lifting the June 15 companion to 18.85%.
Filed June 11, 2026
The Hormuz recovery contract sits at 7.5% as of 10:54 UTC Thursday, pinned by 4,000-fold war-risk premiums with 19 days left to the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 11, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire extension odds hold at 43.5% Wednesday, down 1 point as nuclear and Hormuz deadlocks persist with 20 days left to the June 30 deadline.
Filed June 10, 2026
The 40-64 tweet bracket stands at 80.5% as of 08:58 UTC Wednesday, up 37 points from its 43.5% open, with the noon ET deadline 7 hours away.
Filed June 10, 2026
The Camurus Oclaiz prediction market is pricing FDA approval at 89.25% as of 01:37 UTC Wednesday, up 9.75 points in 24 hours as the PDUFA decision deadline arrives.
Filed June 10, 2026