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29 results for “June 15”
The Strait of Hormuz June-normalization contract priced at 14.5% as of 22:00 UTC Thursday, down 7.0 points on the session after only seven vessels transited since the June 15 accord.
Filed June 19, 2026
The June 15-21 earthquake count market sits at 62.5% YES at 05:40 UTC Wednesday, driven up 9.5pp by back-to-back M6+ quakes in Indonesia and China.
Filed June 17, 2026
Three major quakes in the first hours of the June 15–21 window spiked YES to an 83.5% peak; it sits at 63.5% Wednesday.
Filed June 17, 2026
Musk's June 15–17 tweet-count YES contract stands at 75% as of 18:17 UTC Tuesday, up 43pp from its 31.5% session open and roughly 22 hours from noon ET Wednesday settlement.
Filed June 16, 2026
Iran's enrichment-halt market reached 39.5% at 06:48 UTC Tuesday, up 7pp in 24 hours, as the June 15 accord defers nuclear specifics to a follow-on negotiating round.
Filed June 16, 2026
The US-Iran June 15 peace-deal contract climbed to 93.9% at 15:04 UTC Monday — up from 11.25% at the session open — with Trump declaring the accord 'complete' and less than 13 hours to the 11:59 PM ET deadline.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June 15 $66K Bitcoin contract sits at 37.5% at 00:34 UTC Monday, up 22pp from Sunday's open after Trump's Iran deal fired spot BTC past $65,000, fading 8pp from the 45.5% session high.
Filed June 15, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal trades at 17.85% as of 20:17 UTC Sunday, down 8.55 points from open, with Khamenei approval absent.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June 15 US–Iran permanent peace deal contract is at 16.1% as of 16:10 UTC Sunday — down 13.7 percentage points in 24 hours — as Iran's FM publicly rejected Trump's Sunday signing pledge and the deadline approached unsigned.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 Iran peace-deal contract sits at 26.95% at 21:05 UTC Saturday, up 12.4pp from the 14.55% session open, as Trump's Truth Social signing pledge meets FM Baghaei's flat rejection.
Filed June 14, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran peace deal is at 29.25% at 18:25 UTC Saturday, up 11.9pp over 24 hours as Pakistan's final-text claim drives a second afternoon surge.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June-15 US-Iran permanent peace deal is at 18.2% as of 22:53 UTC Friday, recovering from a 14.7% evening floor as Pakistan's 'final text' claim holds with the June 15 deadline under 50 hours away.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 15 US-Iran peace deal is at 16.5% at 22:03 UTC Friday, off the 21.6% session high as Iran hedges on Pakistan's 'final text' claim.
Filed June 13, 2026
The June 15 US-Iran peace deal contract trades at 17.05% Friday, rebounding from an 8.25% session floor as Pakistan announces a 'final agreed text.'
Filed June 12, 2026
The US-Iran June 30 permanent peace deal contract hit 31% Thursday, up 17.5pp on the session, as traders rotated from Monday's failing June 15 deadline to a longer negotiating runway.
Filed June 12, 2026
The US-Iran permanent peace deal by June 15 reached 17.5% at 19:16 UTC Thursday — up 13.3pp from its 4.2% open — as YES buyers overcame a rival YES liquidation to lift the contract.
Filed June 11, 2026
The June 30 US-Iran peace deal contract hit 36.5% Thursday — up 20pp on the day — as Trump's 'two or three days' window expires, lifting the June 15 companion to 18.85%.
Filed June 11, 2026
The Israel airspace-closure contract reached 20% as of 16:17 UTC Wednesday — up from a 12.5% morning trough — as Iran's unresolved Lebanon-clause threat anchors residual escalation risk through June 15.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract hits 16.5% on Wednesday, up 6.5 points in 24 hours, as Iran's Lebanon condition keeps June 15 escalation risk alive.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's June 15 airspace-closure contract trades at 13.5% as of 06:07 UTC Wednesday, well off a June 9 session peak of 23.5%.
Filed June 10, 2026
Israel's airspace-closure contract holds at 16.5% Monday evening, 16 points below the 24h open, as Iran's halt to strikes absorbs the barrage premium with six days left to June 15.
Filed June 9, 2026
The US-Iran June 15 peace deal contract holds at 6.5% as of 21:17 UTC Sunday, with the MOU unsigned and uranium deadlock intact.
Filed June 8, 2026
As of 2026-06-04T08:43:06 UTC, the June 15 Iran deal contract trades at 14.5% after a 48,034-share YES block; the June 7 sibling sits at 4.45%, leaving a 10.05pp spread.
Filed June 4, 2026
The US-Iran permanent-peace contract holds at 13.5¢ as of 06:44 UTC Thursday, flat on the session with 11 days to deadline and the MOU still unsigned.
Filed June 4, 2026
June 15 US-Iran permanent peace deal market holds at 13.5% as of 01:19 UTC Wednesday, down 2pp from its open, after Rubio told the Senate nuclear talks could take up to 90 days.
Filed June 3, 2026
The June 15 Iran peace-deal contract holds at 13.5% as of 00:54 UTC Wednesday, a 9-point gap above the June 7 sibling now at 4.5¢.
Filed June 3, 2026
At 22:49 UTC Tuesday, Iran's June 15 permanent-peace contract held at 13.5% — 8pp above the June 7 sibling at 5.5% — as the MOU remains unsigned and Iran's talks suspension trims both windows.
Filed June 3, 2026
Trump's UAP contract was priced at 59% at 17:39 UTC Sunday—up 19.5 points in 24 hours—on the Pentagon's two confirmed PURSUE releases ahead of the June 15 deadline.
Filed May 31, 2026
Polymarket's June 15 US-Iran peace-deal market sits at 53.5% Monday afternoon, up 8 points in 24 hours after Rubio signaled a 60-day framework.
Filed May 25, 2026