Earthquake YES Spikes to 83.5%, Settles at 62.5% After M6+ Pair
The June 15-21 earthquake count market sits at 62.5% YES at 05:40 UTC Wednesday, driven up 9.5pp by back-to-back M6+ quakes in Indonesia and China.
The June 15-21 earthquake count market prices YES at 62.5% at 05:40 UTC Wednesday, up 9.5pp net on the day. The session peaked at 83.5% on consecutive M6+ tremors before easing to 0.815 at 21:33 UTC and retreating further to 62.5% as one trader hammered NO. The contract resolves YES if more than 9 M5.5+ earthquakes occur globally by June 21, per USGS.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Science & Tech Venezuela Doublet Fires 11+ Quake Bracket to 42%
The 11+ M5.5+ earthquake bracket for June 22–28 sits at 42% as of 02:16 UTC Thursday, up 27.5 points after Venezuela's M7.5/M7.2 doublet confirmed four seismic events.
Filed June 25, 2026
Science & Tech Exact-9 Earthquake Bracket Climbs to 35% as Six-Day Window Closes In
The exactly-nine M7.0+ earthquake market priced at 35% at 20:42 UTC Wednesday—up 7 points on the day—with six confirmed 2026 major quakes and six days to resolution.
Filed June 24, 2026
Science & Tech Venezuela's Seismic Pair Drives Exactly-10 Earthquake Bracket to 76%
Venezuela's M7.2 and M7.5 appear to have pushed the USGS M7+ running tally to 10, firing the exactly-10 bracket to 76% at 01:21 UTC Thursday.